Analytics
Resolved Yes on 15 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 75.5%. Yes opened at 53.5% on 2 Oct 2026. Before it settled, the high was 77.5% on 9 Oct 2026 and the low 41% on 5 Oct 2026. Its largest one-day move was 21 points up, to 63.5% on 8 Oct 2026. $369.22K traded over the market's life.
100 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 16, 5:07 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 14 points, 2 Oct 2026 – 15 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 2 Oct 2026 | 53.5% |
| 15 Oct 2026 | 75.5% |
8 more markets, none above 2.5%.
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| dage0x08 | No | 12K |
| redhaze | No | 10.16K |
| TryingToNotLose | No | 7.75K |
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT during the month specified in the title (from 00:00 AM ET on the first day to 11:59 PM ET on the last), has a final Low price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT Low prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-price-will-bitcoin-hit-in-october-2026
| lovedudley | No | 5K |
| hack-vc | No | 5K |
| Dimpled-Foal | No | 3.86K |
| asdfasdfxs | No | 3.83K |
| Big-Bet-Yuko | No | 3.64K |
| WeedMann90 | No | 3K |
| Elastic-Goggles | No | 2.51K |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
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