Analytics
Yes is at 16.5%, down 62 points from 78.5% when the market opened on 8 Oct 2026.
Across the 15 daily closes on record from 8 Oct 2026 to 28 Oct 2026 (6 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 84% on 12 Oct 2026 and the lowest 16.5% on 28 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 65%. Its largest one-day move was 24 points down, to 60.5% on 13 Oct 2026.
It is one of 22 markets under “What price will Bitcoin hit in October?”.
$126.67K traded in the last 24 hours, out of $646.54K since listing. The order book holds $69.2K, with a 1.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 500 trades, $14.44K bought Yes and $37.48K bought No; the largest was a $10.72K sell of No at 86.0¢.
The largest Yes position is Quiet Falcon 3CA7 with 47.9K shares; the largest No position is Impressive-Steak with 51.8K. Ten wallets hold 77.1% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Nov 2026, 5 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 2:08 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 15 points, 8 Oct 2026 – 28 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 8 Oct 2026 | 78.5% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 16.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Impressive-Steak | No | 51.77K |
| Quiet Falcon 3CA7 | Yes | 47.87K |
| beheo123 | Yes | 37.55K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT from the creation of this market through 11:59 PM ET on the last day of the month specified in the title has a final High price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Price action before this market's creation will not be considered. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT High prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-price-will-bitcoin-hit-in-october-2026
10 more markets, none above 0.8%.
| 10Alexander321 | No | 36.21K |
| boyau | Yes | 27.98K |
| Tokor | No | 16.28K |
| Rhabarberbarbarbar | Yes | 12.05K |
| bitterfish | No | 10.4K |
| justdance | Yes | 6.59K |
| Hiiiiiyyy | No | 6K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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