Analytics
Yes is at 70.5%, down 9 points from 79.5% when the market opened on 23 Oct 2026.
Across the 5 daily closes on record from 23 Oct 2026 to 28 Oct 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 79.5% on 23 Oct 2026 and the lowest 50% on 27 Oct 2026. Its largest one-day move was 14 points up, to 70.5% on 28 Oct 2026.
It is one of 25 markets under “What price will Bitcoin hit in October?”.
$101.35K traded in the last 24 hours, out of $261.81K since listing. The order book holds $54.69K, with a 1.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 500 trades, $40.61K bought Yes and $29.23K bought No; the largest was a $8.75K buy of Yes at 51.0¢.
The largest Yes position is Greedo with 25K shares; the largest No position is Tokor with 18.3K. Ten wallets hold 81.5% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Nov 2026, 4 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 9:08 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 5 points, 23 Oct 2026 – 28 Oct 2026, chart shows 40%–90%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 23 Oct 2026 | 79.5% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 70.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Greedo | Yes | 25K |
| Tokor | No | 18.35K |
| Rhabarberbarbarbar | Yes | 17.07K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT from the creation of this market through 11:59 PM ET on the last day of the month specified in the title has a final High price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Price action before this market's creation will not be considered. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT High prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-price-will-bitcoin-hit-in-october-2026
13 more markets, none above 2.1%.
| Impressive-Steak |
| No |
| 15.7K |
| boyau | Yes | 12.75K |
| Egozic86 | No | 11.83K |
| justdance | No | 8.22K |
| Quiet Falcon 3CA7 | No | 6.3K |
| ComTruise | Yes | 3.7K |
| Jajjsjsjs | Yes | 3.32K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
