Analytics
Yes is at 45.5%, down 28 points from 73.5% when the market opened on 28 Oct 2026.
Across the 2 daily closes on record from 28 Oct 2026 to 28 Oct 2026, the highest close was 73.5% on 28 Oct 2026 and the lowest 49% on 28 Oct 2026. The current quote, 45.5%, is below every close in that window; the latest close was 49% on 28 Oct 2026. Its largest one-day move was 25 points down, to 49% on 28 Oct 2026.
It is one of 24 markets under “What price will Bitcoin hit in October?”.
$17.8K traded in the last 24 hours, out of $18.23K since listing. The order book holds $24.37K, with a 3.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 218 trades, $3.61K bought Yes and $3.76K bought No.
The largest Yes position is ComTruise with 3.5K shares; the largest No position is woshiLimpeh with 5.3K. Ten wallets hold 82.1% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Nov 2026, 4 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 8:00 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 28 Oct 2026 – 28 Oct 2026, chart shows 40%–80%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 28 Oct 2026 | 73.5% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 49.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| woshiLimpeh | No | 5.3K |
| ComTruise | Yes | 3.47K |
| EgoVolae | Yes | 2.75K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT from the creation of this market through 11:59 PM ET on the last day of the month specified in the title has a final Low price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Price action before this market's creation will not be considered. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT Low prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-price-will-bitcoin-hit-in-october-2026
12 more markets, none above 0.5%.
| justdance |
| No |
| 2.52K |
| DrTie | Yes | 1.43K |
| 0xDB5 | No | 1.2K |
| asdfasdfxs | No | 1K |
| ftrxc64afn | Yes | 977.37 |
| testTopMis | Yes | 843.72 |
| Memorable-Swanling | No | 599.96 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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