Analytics
Yes is at 76.5%, down 13 points from 89.5% when the market opened on 15 Aug 2026.
Across the 73 daily closes on record from 15 Aug 2026 to 5 Nov 2026 (10 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 91% on 29 Aug 2026 and the lowest 66.5% on 11 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 74%; a month before, 86.5%. Its largest one-day move was 19 points down, to 66.5% on 11 Oct 2026.
Johnny Chiang is the favourite of the 3 outcomes in “Taichung Mayor Election Winner”, ahead of Ho Hsin-chun at 24.4%.
$9.21K traded in the last 24 hours, out of $36.1K since listing. The order book holds $57.59K, with a 1.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 361 trades, $7.4K bought Yes and $5.06K bought No; the largest was a $1.14K buy of Yes at 78.7¢.
The largest Yes position is ArmageddonRewardsBilly with 8.3K shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 18.8K. Ten wallets hold 77.8% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 29 Nov 2026, 24 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Nov 5, 11:13 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 73 points, 15 Aug 2026 – 5 Nov 2026, chart shows 60%–100%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 15 Aug 2026 | 89.5% |
| 5 Nov 2026 | 76.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 18.84K |
| ArmageddonRewardsBilly | Yes | 8.29K |
| FunMike | No | 2.46K |
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Taichung as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/taichung-mayor-election-winner-20260813125857400
| OATH1989 | Yes | 2K |
| RepublicOfChina | Yes | 1.54K |
| december | Yes | 1.5K |
| efemme314 | Yes | 1.26K |
| pie | Yes | 1.24K |
| BlancHK | No | 1.23K |
| aoiaoiboo | No | 1.2K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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