Analytics
RepublicOfChina has made $4.48K on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-09-16 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? | No | 2.7K | $0.844 | $1.68K | -$601.79 |
 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House |
| Category | Realized PnL | Volume | Trades | Markets | Win rate | Position value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| uncategorized | $0 | $0 | 35 | 2 | 0.0% | $0 |
This view does not establish the wallet’s complete trading history.
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-09-16 12:25 UTC
Polymarket public position response
50 open positions returned; page coverage partial
2026-10-25 09:10 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
Recent fills unavailable
2026-10-25 09:10 UTC
polymarket positions
51 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-09-16 12:25 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $20.88K and losing ones cost $9.83K across the latest 50 settled positions. 66% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $3.09K on “Yoon out as president of South Korea in 2025?” (Yes); the largest loss, $2.26K on “Israel x Hamas ceasefire in 2024?” (No).
It has traded 919 markets. Its open positions are worth $7.96K across 67 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| No |
| 1.8K |
| $0.663 |
| $1.67K |
| +$471.99 |
 Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 1.79K | $0.622 | $1.19K | +$77.68 |
 SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026? | No | 789.93 | $0.702 | $752.41 | +$198.11 |
 Will Chen Pin-an win the next Miaoli County Magistrate election? | No | 459.3 | $0.749 | $434.5 | +$90.41 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 184.92 | $0.784 | $169.2 | +$24.21 |
 Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | No | 235.84 | $0.493 | $149.76 | +$33.42 |
 Will there be no next German Chancellor before 2028? | Yes | 219.63 | $0.600 | $140.57 | +$8.79 |
 Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 197.43 | $0.580 | $129.32 | +$14.81 |
 Will AfD be in the next Sachsen-Anhalt state government? | No | 257.39 | $0.569 | $115.83 | -$30.6 |
 Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 168 | $0.496 | $106.68 | +$23.28 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? | No | 114.51 | $0.730 | $102.49 | +$18.89 |
 Will Su Chiao-hui win the next New Taipei Mayor election? | No | 182.13 | $0.696 | $86.51 | -$40.23 |
 Congress approves Iran deal in 2026? | No | 97.52 | $0.733 | $86.31 | +$14.87 |
 Will Yu Shu-chen win the next Hualien County Magistrate election? | Yes | 98.87 | $0.526 | $84.04 | +$32.04 |
 Will Chen Yu-jen win the next Kinmen County Magistrate election? | Yes | 85.37 | $0.590 | $81.96 | +$31.59 |
 Will Hsu Hsin-ying win the next Hsinchu County Magistrate election? | Yes | 217.41 | $0.442 | $78.27 | -$17.87 |
 Will Chang San-cheng win the next Taoyuan Mayor election? | Yes | 75.78 | $0.633 | $66.31 | +$18.36 |
 Will the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026? | No | 99.12 | $0.699 | $64.92 | -$4.36 |
 Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%? | Yes | 65.58 | $0.770 | $63.28 | +$12.79 |
 Will Johnny Chiang win the next Taichung Mayor election? | Yes | 81.09 | $0.642 | $60.82 | +$8.72 |
 Will the Malaysian House of Representatives be dissolved by June 30, 2027? | Yes | 114.51 | $0.580 | $56.68 | -$9.73 |
 Will Wu Tsung-hsien win the next Yilan County Magistrate election? | Yes | 157.49 | $0.228 | $55.12 | +$19.25 |
 Will Cheng Chao-fang win the next Hsinchu County Magistrate election? | No | 150.95 | $0.619 | $55.1 | -$38.28 |
 Will Ho Hsin-chun win the next Taichung Mayor election? | No | 61 | $0.700 | $47.4 | +$4.7 |
4 of 6 axes ranked against the 86 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.
