Analytics
Yes is at 7.5%, down 44 points from 51% when the market opened on 17 Jun 2026.
Across the 133 daily closes on record from 17 Jun 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 (4 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 52% on 18 Jun 2026 and the lowest 6.5% on 27 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 11.5%; a month before, 7.5%. Its largest one-day move was 17 points down, to 25.5% on 20 Jun 2026.
$8.65 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $13.27K since listing. The order book holds $879.39, with a 3.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 88 trades, $177.12 bought Yes and $4.81K bought No.
The largest Yes position is fiter with 750 shares; the largest No position is willsom with 600. Ten wallets hold 91.4% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 63 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 30, 1:51 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 133 points, 17 Jun 2026 – 30 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 17 Jun 2026 | 51.0% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 7.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| fiter | Yes | 749.99 |
| willsom | No | 600 |
| RepublicOfChina | No | 97.52 |
This market will resolve to “Yes" if the United States Congress passes a qualifying bill or resolution which, by its operative text, expresses approval regarding an agreement where the Islamic Republic of Iran and the United States are both parties by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying bill or resolution must be a bill or joint resolution passed identically in both chambers, or a Senate resolution giving advice and consent to a treaty submitted by the President. The resolution source for this market will be information from the United States Congress (https://congress.gov); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/congress-approves-iran-deal-in-2026-20260616005217959
| xtxpleasecallme |
| Yes |
| 72.16 |
| Javier777Milei | No | 66.75 |
| autisem | No | 50 |
| EconProf | No | 34.48 |
| Shekel | Yes | 33.1 |
| guladdin | Yes | 31.76 |
| frozenriver | No | 30 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
