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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026? | Yes | 58.87 | $0.336 | $29.14 | +$9.34 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by December 31?Yes | buy | 7.69 | $0.130 | $1 | 7h ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 39.37 |
| $0.129 |
| $20.67 |
| +$15.61 |
 Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026? | No | 24.56 | $0.627 | $18.29 | +$2.9 |
 Will SpaceX have between 160-179 launches in 2026? | Yes | 112.9 | $0.147 | $14.68 | -$1.98 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 15.62 | $0.670 | $14.61 | +$4.15 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | No | 14.7 | $0.191 | $11.84 | +$9.02 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 11.63 | $0.860 | $11.18 | +$1.18 |
 Will the SpaceX Starship launch from Florida by December 31, 2026? | No | 12.58 | $0.795 | $11.13 | +$1.13 |
 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? | No | 10.55 | $0.569 | $9.87 | +$3.87 |
 Will Lebanon recognize Israel by December 31? | Yes | 98.71 | $0.340 | $8.88 | -$24.69 |
 SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2028? | Yes | 10.91 | $0.665 | $7.48 | +$0.22 |
 Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? | No | 7.96 | $0.754 | $7.05 | +$1.05 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 29.88 | $0.301 | $6.72 | -$2.28 |
 Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | Yes | 81.42 | $0.255 | $6.11 | -$14.64 |
 Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027? | Yes | 128.65 | $0.074 | $6.05 | -$3.47 |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? | No | 5.59 | $0.715 | $5.34 | +$1.34 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 5 | $0.721 | $4.27 | +$0.67 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31? | Yes | 20.34 | $0.295 | $4.17 | -$1.83 |
 US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026? | Yes | 20.23 | $0.099 | $4.15 | +$2.15 |
 Will Trump visit North Korea by December 31? | No | 4.5 | $0.888 | $3.95 | -$0.05 |
 Will the US federal government take a stake in Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited? | No | 4.56 | $0.877 | $3.85 | -$0.15 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | No | 4.39 | $0.683 | $3.76 | +$0.76 |
 Will there be no de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026? | Yes | 584.49 | $0.003 | $3.51 | +$1.73 |
 Congress approves Iran deal in 2026? | Yes | 32.5 | $0.138 | $3.09 | -$1.38 |
 Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 4.19 | $0.715 | $2.77 | -$0.23 |
| sell |
| 6.45 |
| $0.044 |
| $0.28 |
| 9h ago |
 Moscow air traffic suspended by September 15?Yes | sell | 2.75 | $0.551 | $1.52 | 9h ago |
| Iran blockade lifted before Xi visits US?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.070 | $0.35 | 15h ago |
| Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.43 | $0.700 | $1 | 15h ago |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?No | sell | 2.43 | $0.520 | $1.26 | 15h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?No | sell | 2.74 | $0.630 | $1.73 | 15h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | sell | 2.42 | $0.620 | $1.5 | 15h ago |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 Week of September 7 2026?Yes | buy | 1.96 | $0.510 | $1 | 23h ago |
 Will Trump and Putin meet next in United States?Yes | sell | 9 | $0.014 | $0.13 | 23h ago |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 Week of September 7 2026?Yes | buy | 1.79 | $0.560 | $1 | 1d ago |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 Week of September 7 2026?Yes | buy | 1.64 | $0.610 | $1 | 1d ago |
| Will the US federal government take a stake in GlobalFoundries Inc.?No | sell | 12.67 | $0.130 | $1.65 | 1d ago |
 Will New Zealand First Party win the third-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?No | sell | 4.44 | $0.430 | $1.91 | 1d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?No | sell | 1.88 | $0.650 | $1.22 | 1d ago |
 Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026?No | buy | 1.14 | $0.880 | $1 | 1d ago |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?No | sell | 5 | $0.200 | $1 | 1d ago |
 Will Trump and Putin meet next in Russia?Yes | sell | 9 | $0.019 | $0.17 | 1d ago |
| Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 0.26 | $0.210 | $0.05 | 1d ago |
| Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.25 | $0.800 | $1 | 1d ago |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 Week of September 7 2026?Yes | buy | 1.28 | $0.780 | $1 | 1d ago |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 Week of September 7 2026?Yes | buy | 1.2 | $0.830 | $1 | 1d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | buy | 3.03 | $0.330 | $1 | 1d ago |
| WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $92 on September 8?Yes | sell | 2.58 | $0.890 | $2.3 | 1d ago |
| WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on September 8?Up | sell | 2.28 | $0.935 | $2.13 | 1d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027?Yes | buy | 3.13 | $0.320 | $1 | 1d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 4.17 | $0.240 | $1 | 1d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2027?Yes | buy | 2.9 | $0.690 | $2 | 1d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?No | buy | 25.64 | $0.039 | $1 | 1d ago |
| Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.52 | $0.660 | $1 | 1d ago |
| Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.26 | $0.190 | $1 | 1d ago |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 Week of September 7 2026?Yes | buy | 3.03 | $0.660 | $2 | 1d ago |
 Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.031 | $0.16 | 2d ago |
| Will Trump visit North Korea by December 31?No | buy | 1.12 | $0.889 | $1 | 2d ago |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | sell | 3.43 | $0.850 | $2.92 | 2d ago |
| Will the US federal government take a stake in GlobalFoundries Inc.?No | sell | 16.9 | $0.160 | $2.7 | 2d ago |
 Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 6.04 | $0.510 | $3.08 | 2d ago |
 Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 19?No | buy | 1.59 | $0.630 | $1 | 2d ago |
| Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 15?Yes | sell | 2.85 | $0.120 | $0.34 | 3d ago |
| Will Trump and Putin meet next in United States?Yes | sell | 6.09 | $0.010 | $0.06 | 3d ago |
| Will Trump and Putin meet next in Russia?Yes | sell | 25.01 | $0.018 | $0.45 | 3d ago |
| WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $92 on September 8?Yes | buy | 1.72 | $0.580 | $1 | 3d ago |
 Will Russia target Kyiv on September 6, 2026?No | sell | 1 | $0.956 | $0.96 | 3d ago |
 Will any aircraft land or take off at Kyiv Boryspil Airport by September 30?Yes | sell | 3.83 | $0.030 | $0.11 | 3d ago |
 Iran successfully targets shipping by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 10 | $0.002 | $0.02 | 3d ago |
| Will any aircraft land or take off at Kyiv Boryspil Airport by September 30?Yes | sell | 5.82 | $0.070 | $0.41 | 3d ago |
| Will Russia target Kyiv on September 6, 2026?No | sell | 3.33 | $0.950 | $3.16 | 3d ago |
| WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on September 8?Up | buy | 3.28 | $0.610 | $2 | 3d ago |
| WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $92 on September 8?Yes | buy | 1.85 | $0.540 | $1 | 3d ago |
| WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $94 on September 8?Yes | buy | 3.57 | $0.280 | $1 | 3d ago |