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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Iran Nuke before 2027? | No | 1.92K | $0.950 | $1.82K | +$1.28 |
 Kash Patel out by December 31? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | sell | 576.93 | $0.540 | $311.54 | 1h ago |
 |
| No |
| 2.33K |
| $0.428 |
| $1.78K |
| +$786.17 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 1.91K | $0.338 | $524.15 | -$120.82 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? | No | 500 | $0.930 | $483.75 | +$18.75 |
 Will Israel election happen as scheduled? | Yes | 500 | $0.910 | $453.25 | -$1.6 |
 Will J.D. Vance attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | No | 585.8 | $0.644 | $442.28 | +$64.94 |
 Will Trump speak to Masoud Pezeshkian in September? | No | 436 | $0.937 | $421.83 | +$13.32 |
 RFK Jr. Out by December 31? | No | 567.43 | $0.684 | $414.22 | +$26.23 |
 Israel military action against Lebanon on September 3? | No | 1.16K | $0.155 | $326.13 | +$145.29 |
 Israel military action against Yemen by September 30? | No | 313 | $0.942 | $295.16 | +$0.26 |
 Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31? | No | 322.58 | $0.620 | $261.29 | +$61.29 |
 Bank of Canada Rate Hike in 2026? | No | 382.88 | $0.655 | $245.04 | -$5.72 |
 Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement? | Yes | 251 | $0.896 | $222.14 | -$2.66 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be arrested by September 30? | No | 205.26 | $0.974 | $204.43 | +$4.43 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | No | 206.61 | $0.968 | $201.03 | +$1.03 |
 Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 242.69 | $0.824 | $160.17 | -$39.83 |
 Will Donald Trump attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | No | 160 | $0.828 | $150.16 | +$17.61 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 30? | No | 500 | $0.330 | $135 | -$30 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? | Yes | 258.73 | $0.618 | $122.9 | -$37.1 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Yes | 1.83K | $0.082 | $118.65 | -$31.35 |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026? | No | 109.84 | $0.910 | $106.65 | +$6.65 |
 Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election? | Yes | 110 | $0.832 | $98.45 | +$6.95 |
 Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 666.67 | $0.150 | $90 | -$10 |
 Will PLQ finish in third place in the Quebec general election? | Yes | 122 | $0.520 | $86.01 | +$22.57 |
 Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 418.41 | $0.239 | $81.59 | -$18.41 |
| buy |
| 60.61 |
| $0.330 |
| $20 |
| 5h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | buy | 192.31 | $0.520 | $100 | 6h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | buy | 384.62 | $0.520 | $200 | 6h ago |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?No | sell | 1.33K | $0.140 | $186.67 | 13h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | sell | 947.76 | $0.663 | $628.14 | 15h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | buy | 149.25 | $0.670 | $100 | 15h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | buy | 298.51 | $0.670 | $200 | 15h ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?No | buy | 1.33K | $0.150 | $200 | 17h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 199.99 | $0.310 | $62 | 18h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 199.99 | $0.323 | $64.68 | 18h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | sell | 461.54 | $0.657 | $303.01 | 18h ago |
 Will Iran target Jordan by September 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 400 | $0.970 | $388 | 18h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | buy | 153.85 | $0.650 | $100 | 18h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | buy | 307.69 | $0.650 | $200 | 19h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 239.27 | $0.410 | $98.1 | 19h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 242.86 | $0.412 | $100 | 20h ago |
| Will Iran target Jordan by September 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.549 | $54.9 | 20h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | sell | 261.53 | $0.600 | $156.92 | 20h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | buy | 28.69 | $0.540 | $15.49 | 21h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | buy | 161.54 | $0.619 | $100 | 21h ago |
| Israel military action against Yemen by September 30?No | buy | 313 | $0.942 | $294.9 | 1d ago |
| Israel military action against Lebanon on September 3?No | sell | 50 | $0.400 | $20 | 1d ago |
 Will CAQ finish in second place in the Quebec general election?Yes | sell | 117 | $0.470 | $54.99 | 1d ago |
 Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?Yes | sell | 213 | $0.106 | $22.52 | 1d ago |
 Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by September 15, 2026?No | sell | 36.53 | $0.330 | $12.05 | 1d ago |
| Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 9, 2026?Yes | sell | 488.89 | $0.018 | $8.7 | 1d ago |
| Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 716.17 | $0.150 | $107.43 | 1d ago |
| Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 358.23 | $0.334 | $119.63 | 2d ago |
| Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by September 15, 2026?No | buy | 285.49 | $0.350 | $100 | 2d ago |
| Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 0.54 | $0.620 | $0.33 | 2d ago |
| Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 10 | $0.620 | $6.2 | 2d ago |
| Israel military action against Yemen by September 30?No | sell | 50 | $0.911 | $45.57 | 2d ago |
 Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 17, 2026?No | buy | 40 | $0.370 | $14.8 | 2d ago |
| Israel x Lebanon Effective Ceasefire by September 11?No | buy | 45.42 | $0.950 | $43.15 | 2d ago |
| Israel military action against Lebanon on September 7?Yes | buy | 210.53 | $0.950 | $200 | 2d ago |
| Israel military action against Lebanon on September 7?Yes | buy | 21.74 | $0.920 | $20 | 2d ago |
| Israel military action against Lebanon on September 7?Yes | buy | 10.93 | $0.915 | $10 | 2d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | sell | 453.34 | $0.630 | $285.6 | 3d ago |
 Iran blockade lifted before Iran-Oman Hormuz agreement?Yes | buy | 76.31 | $0.289 | $22.07 | 3d ago |
 US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by December 31?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.610 | $61 | 3d ago |
| Israel military action against Lebanon on September 6?Yes | buy | 34.85 | $0.896 | $31.23 | 3d ago |
| Israel military action against Lebanon on September 6?Yes | buy | 57.47 | $0.870 | $50 | 3d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | buy | 140.85 | $0.710 | $100 | 3d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?No | sell | 569.05 | $0.150 | $85.36 | 4d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?No | buy | 569.06 | $0.176 | $100 | 4d ago |
| Israel military action against Lebanon on September 3?No | buy | 60 | $0.326 | $19.54 | 5d ago |
| Israel military action against Lebanon on September 3?No | buy | 69.75 | $0.130 | $9.07 | 5d ago |
| Israel military action against Lebanon on September 3?No | buy | 150 | $0.087 | $13.1 | 5d ago |
| Israel military action against Lebanon on September 3?Yes | sell | 35 | $0.813 | $28.46 | 5d ago |