Analytics
Yes is at 5.7%, down 22 points from 28% when the market opened on 23 Apr 2026.
Across the 188 daily closes on record from 23 Apr 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 (4 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 66% on 28 Apr 2026 and the lowest 1.4% on 28 Aug 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 5.5%; a month before, 6.5%. Its largest one-day move was 39 points down, to 11% on 12 May 2026.
It is one of 15 markets under “French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?”.
$1.81K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $12.02K, with a 0.8% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 55 trades, $113.2 bought Yes and $885.49 bought No.
The largest Yes position is thecaricature with 395 shares; the largest No position is Giorgio2 with 700.
Trading closes on 18 Apr 2027.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 30, 1:37 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 188 points, 23 Apr 2026 – 30 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 23 Apr 2026 | 28.0% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 5.7% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Giorgio2 | No | 700.37 |
| thecaricature | Yes | 394.62 |
| LornaPredicts | Yes | 138 |
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual publicly announces that they are running for President in the 2027 French presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual of their candidacy will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually formally file their candidacy, or whether they actually appear on the ballot. Statements that merely indicate the listed individual is considering a run, is expected to run, or is being discussed as a possible candidate will not be sufficient. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the listed individual; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/french-presidential-election-who-will-announce-a-run-in-2026
3 more markets, none above 2.8%.
| xtxpleasecallme |
| Yes |
| 115.76 |
| 52adsa | Yes | 108.64 |
| heyoguys | No | 77.48 |
| FrozenParasite | Yes | 70 |
| Numitus1994 | Yes | 51 |
| BISTURI | No | 50 |
| OLOTH | No | 50 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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