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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 2.5K | $0.990 | $2.49K | +$15.08 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | buy | 350 | $0.572 | $200.2 | 10m ago |
 |
| No |
| 2.73K |
| $0.705 |
| $2.04K |
| +$109.59 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | 1.5K | $0.943 | $1.44K | +$26.8 |
 Trump removed via 25th Amendment before 2027? | No | 1.32K | $0.881 | $1.28K | +$117.68 |
 UK announces transfer of Falklands to Argentina in 2026? | No | 1.13K | $0.794 | $1.08K | +$187.14 |
 Will Carole Delga announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026? | No | 1K | $0.902 | $955.24 | +$52.8 |
 Mistral AI IPO before 2027? | No | 976.45 | $0.832 | $903.22 | +$91.12 |
 Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? | No | 999.98 | $0.872 | $884.99 | +$12.5 |
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 1.94K | $0.365 | $883.67 | +$175.6 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | No | 955.5 | $0.747 | $730.95 | +$16.73 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31? | No | 799.96 | $0.607 | $691.97 | +$206.05 |
 Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? | No | 750 | $0.855 | $668.25 | +$27 |
 Will Matthieu Pigasse be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | No | 684.71 | $0.817 | $640.2 | +$80.85 |
 Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | Yes | 750 | $0.787 | $588.75 | -$1.25 |
 Will there be a Super El Niño this winter (2026–27)? | Yes | 600 | $0.908 | $548.7 | +$3.9 |
 Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? | No | 500 | $0.880 | $472.5 | +$32.5 |
 Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | No | 500 | $0.820 | $467.5 | +$57.5 |
 Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? | No | 500 | $0.890 | $455 | +$10 |
 Will Cristiano Ronaldo announce his retirement in 2026? | No | 500 | $0.763 | $436.5 | +$55.13 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 499.99 | $0.800 | $407.49 | +$7.5 |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Yes | 505 | $0.740 | $371.18 | -$2.52 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | No | 500 | $0.636 | $362.5 | +$44.42 |
| Will Gérald Darmanin announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026? | No | 348.12 | $0.961 | $336.98 | +$2.52 |
 Will Carole Delga be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | No | 341.32 | $0.672 | $327.15 | +$97.66 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 375.17 | $0.850 | $320.77 | +$1.88 |
| buy |
| 171.05 |
| $0.810 |
| $138.55 |
| 7h ago |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | sell | 1.5K | $0.962 | $1.44K | 20h ago |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.740 | $3.7 | 20h ago |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | sell | 449.98 | $0.700 | $314.99 | 22h ago |
 Will the 2026 United Left primary for the 2027 French presidential election be canceled?No | sell | 129 | $0.077 | $9.93 | 23h ago |
| Will the 2026 United Left primary for the 2027 French presidential election be canceled?No | sell | 20 | $0.080 | $1.6 | 1d ago |
| Will the 2026 United Left primary for the 2027 French presidential election be canceled?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.922 | $46.1 | 1d ago |
| Will the 2026 United Left primary for the 2027 French presidential election be canceled?Yes | buy | 16 | $0.921 | $14.74 | 1d ago |
| Will the 2026 United Left primary for the 2027 French presidential election be canceled?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.922 | $92.2 | 1d ago |
| Will the 2026 United Left primary for the 2027 French presidential election be canceled?Yes | buy | 130 | $0.915 | $118.95 | 1d ago |
| Will the 2026 United Left primary for the 2027 French presidential election be canceled?Yes | buy | 275 | $0.909 | $249.98 | 1d ago |
| Will the 2026 United Left primary for the 2027 French presidential election be canceled?No | buy | 500 | $0.074 | $37 | 1d ago |
| Will the 2026 United Left primary for the 2027 French presidential election be canceled?No | buy | 1K | $0.074 | $74 | 1d ago |
| Will the 2026 United Left primary for the 2027 French presidential election be canceled?No | buy | 500 | $0.071 | $35.5 | 1d ago |
 Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | sell | 13 | $0.070 | $0.91 | 2d ago |
| Will the 2026 United Left primary for the 2027 French presidential election be canceled?No | buy | 210 | $0.071 | $14.91 | 2d ago |
| Will the 2026 United Left primary for the 2027 French presidential election be canceled?No | buy | 55.02 | $0.070 | $3.85 | 2d ago |
| Will the 2026 United Left primary for the 2027 French presidential election be canceled?No | buy | 1.74K | $0.067 | $116.76 | 2d ago |
 Will Yair Golan be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | sell | 249.94 | $0.004 | $1 | 2d ago |
 Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | sell | 249.94 | $0.006 | $1.5 | 2d ago |
 Will Ofer Winter be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | sell | 249.94 | $0.014 | $3.5 | 2d ago |
 Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | sell | 249.94 | $0.055 | $13.75 | 2d ago |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | sell | 375 | $0.930 | $348.75 | 2d ago |
 Will Gabriel Attal be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?No | buy | 43.09 | $0.750 | $32.32 | 2d ago |
 Will the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes | buy | 123.08 | $0.042 | $5.17 | 2d ago |
 Will Nicolas Dupont-Aignan be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?No | sell | 5.23 | $0.430 | $2.25 | 2d ago |
 Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?Yes | sell | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | 2d ago |
 Lecornu out as French PM by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 11 | $0.290 | $3.19 | 2d ago |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 374.75 | $0.440 | $164.89 | 4d ago |
| Will Dominique de Villepin announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?No | buy | 20 | $0.350 | $7 | 5d ago |
| Will Dominique de Villepin announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?No | buy | 136.19 | $0.319 | $43.42 | 5d ago |
| Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 2.03K | $0.991 | $2.01K | 6d ago |
 Will Sarah Knafo be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | buy | 107.93 | $0.290 | $31.3 | 8d ago |
| Will Carole Delga announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?No | buy | 44.3 | $0.950 | $42.08 | 9d ago |
| Will Olivier Faure announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?Yes | buy | 44.49 | $0.972 | $43.25 | 9d ago |
 Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes?Yes | sell | 170 | $0.450 | $76.5 | 12d ago |
 Will Boris Vallaud win the Socialist Party nomination to contest the 2027 French presidential elections?No | buy | 65 | $0.953 | $61.95 | 12d ago |
 Will Kylian Mbappe leave Real Madrid before August 31?No | buy | 5 | $0.990 | $4.95 | 12d ago |
 Will Olivier Faure win the Socialist Party nomination to contest the 2027 French presidential elections?Yes | buy | 409.31 | $0.148 | $60.4 | 13d ago |
| Will Élisabeth Borne announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?No | buy | 60 | $0.933 | $55.98 | 14d ago |
| Will Élisabeth Borne announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?No | buy | 160 | $0.909 | $145.48 | 14d ago |
| Will François Bayrou announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?No | buy | 20 | $0.918 | $18.36 | 14d ago |
| Will François Bayrou announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?No | buy | 181.64 | $0.901 | $163.65 | 14d ago |
| Will Carole Delga announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?No | buy | 955.95 | $0.900 | $860.36 | 15d ago |
| Will Gérald Darmanin announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?No | buy | 74.99 | $0.986 | $73.94 | 16d ago |
| Will Raphaël Glucksmann announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?Yes | buy | 29.9 | $0.930 | $27.81 | 16d ago |
| Lecornu out as French PM by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 244.09 | $0.290 | $70.79 | 16d ago |
| Will Olivier Faure announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?Yes | buy | 19.98 | $0.655 | $13.09 | 17d ago |
| Will Raphaël Glucksmann announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?Yes | buy | 45.4 | $0.860 | $39.04 | 17d ago |