Analytics
Trading ended on 28 Oct 2026 with Yes at 56.4%; Polymarket has not settled it yet.
Across the 346 daily closes on record from 16 Nov 2025 to 5 Nov 2026 (9 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 58.5% on 24 Aug 2026 and the lowest 0.4% on 20 Dec 2025. A week before that last close Yes was at 40.8%; a month before, 46.8%. Its largest one-day move was 14 points down, to 40.8% on 28 Oct 2026.
Gadi Eizenkot is the favourite of the 21 outcomes in “Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?”, ahead of Benjamin Netanyahu at 28.4%.
$8.76M has traded since listing.
The largest Yes position is hedgie1 with 188K shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 929.3K. Ten wallets hold 50.9% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Polymarket record as of Nov 5, 11:13 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 346 points, 16 Nov 2025 – 5 Nov 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 16 Nov 2025 | 2.1% |
| 5 Nov 2026 | 57.1% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 929.29K |
| hedgie1 | Yes | 188.04K |
| itamarBenGvir | No | 54.58K |
Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/who-will-be-the-next-prime-minister-of-israel-after-the-next-election
9 more outcomes, none above 0.1%.
| WongKimArk |
| Yes |
| 53.74K |
| fuxfux007 | No | 49.76K |
| admiralxbt | Yes | 49.04K |
| Known-Icing | No | 46.17K |
| tetrose | Yes | 44.08K |
| Parz1vaI | No | 40.63K |
| Broken-Sightseeing | Yes | 40.42K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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