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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | No | 26.8K | $0.890 | $26.31K | +$2.45K |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?Yes | buy | 7.4K | $0.155 | $1.15K | 12d ago |
 |
| No |
| 30.04K |
| $0.624 |
| $25.08K |
| +$6.34K |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 20K | $0.770 | $17.1K | +$1.7K |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | No | 17.57K | $0.213 | $14.14K | +$10.39K |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 20K | $0.425 | $10.5K | +$2K |
 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 11.24K | $0.753 | $10.45K | +$1.99K |
 Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | No | 20K | $0.515 | $10.3K | +$0.28 |
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | No | 10.71K | $0.644 | $9.16K | +$2.26K |
 Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | No | 9.32K | $0.702 | $8.76K | +$2.22K |
 Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 9.44K | $0.716 | $7.54K | +$778.79 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? | No | 6.4K | $0.792 | $5.98K | +$913.79 |
 Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 10.59K | $0.373 | $5.32K | +$1.37K |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 5K | $0.650 | $4.68K | +$1.43K |
 Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 70K | $0.040 | $3.95K | +$1.17K |
| Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 160.61K | $0.021 | $3.77K | +$387.07 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | No | 3K | $0.800 | $2.9K | +$499.5 |
 Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026? | No | 2.76K | $0.870 | $2.73K | +$333.71 |
 Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 5K | $0.550 | $2.63K | -$125 |
 Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31? | No | 3K | $0.310 | $2.6K | +$1.67K |
 Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? | Yes | 2.25K | $0.771 | $2.13K | +$396.42 |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026? | Yes | 7.4K | $0.155 | $1.33K | +$182.01 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? | No | 1K | $0.974 | $993.5 | +$19.5 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 | Yes | 1K | $0.720 | $835 | +$115 |
 Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? | No | 500 | $0.847 | $445.5 | +$22 |
 Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 10K | $0.025 | $265 | +$15 |
| buy |
| 1.22K |
| $0.390 |
| $475.9 |
| 14d ago |
 Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Yes | sell | 3.03K | $0.603 | $1.83K | 14d ago |
| Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Yes | sell | 4.53K | $0.602 | $2.73K | 14d ago |
| Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Yes | sell | 1.52K | $0.650 | $988.96 | 14d ago |
| Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Yes | buy | 1.67K | $0.350 | $584.19 | 14d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?No | buy | 1.4K | $0.800 | $1.12K | 22d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 10K | $0.330 | $3.3K | 27d ago |
 Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?Yes | buy | 15K | $0.011 | $168.92 | 27d ago |
 Will David Crowley win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?Yes | buy | 2.17K | $0.796 | $1.73K | 28d ago |
 Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?No | buy | 4.47K | $0.816 | $3.65K | 28d ago |
| Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?No | buy | 2.08K | $0.770 | $1.6K | 28d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 5K | $0.480 | $2.4K | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?No | buy | 5K | $0.695 | $3.48K | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 29 | $0.015 | $0.44 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 5K | $0.560 | $2.8K | Jul 31, 2026 |
 Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?Yes | buy | 1.12K | $0.540 | $604.81 | Jul 29, 2026 |
 Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?No | buy | 6K | $0.240 | $1.44K | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?No | buy | 5K | $0.997 | $4.99K | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?No | buy | 5.71K | $0.700 | $4K | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?No | buy | 4.64K | $0.610 | $2.83K | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?No | buy | 7.83K | $0.589 | $4.61K | Jul 23, 2026 |
 Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 3.07K | $0.118 | $361.15 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?No | buy | 12.42K | $0.623 | $7.73K | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 5K | $0.074 | $369.97 | Jul 14, 2026 |
 Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 10K | $0.005 | $46.14 | Jul 14, 2026 |
 Will Troy Jackson be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?No | buy | 5K | $0.260 | $1.3K | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 10K | $0.355 | $3.55K | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 6.24K | $0.800 | $4.99K | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?Yes | buy | 11.2K | $0.081 | $906.19 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 4K | $0.179 | $716 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 10K | $0.389 | $3.89K | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 20.46K | $0.220 | $4.5K | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | buy | 3.2K | $0.948 | $3.03K | Jun 24, 2026 |
 SCOTUS strikes down Trump's Birthright Citizenship EO?Yes | buy | 1.51K | $0.952 | $1.44K | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No | buy | 2K | $0.620 | $1.24K | Jun 16, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | buy | 3.62K | $0.180 | $651.65 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 4.75K | $0.830 | $3.94K | Jun 2, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 5K | $0.920 | $4.6K | Jun 2, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 12.8K | $0.910 | $11.65K | Jun 2, 2026 |
| Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes | buy | 2.25K | $0.771 | $1.73K | Jun 2, 2026 |
 Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes | sell | 4.02K | $0.154 | $618.98 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | buy | 13.95K | $0.244 | $3.4K | Jun 2, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | buy | 7.87K | $0.600 | $4.72K | Jun 2, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | buy | 5K | $0.790 | $3.95K | Jun 2, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 5K | $0.889 | $4.45K | May 26, 2026 |
 Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?Yes | buy | 2.39K | $0.967 | $2.31K | May 26, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | buy | 5K | $0.168 | $839.36 | May 26, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | buy | 2.87K | $0.410 | $1.18K | May 23, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | buy | 5K | $0.138 | $688.35 | May 23, 2026 |