Analytics
Yes is at 20.5%, down 16 points from 36% when the market opened on 3 Oct 2026.
Across the 20 daily closes on record from 3 Oct 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 (9 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 36% on 3 Oct 2026 and the lowest 15% on 5 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 20%. Its largest one-day move was 14 points up, to 29.5% on 6 Oct 2026.
It is one of 18 markets under “Argentina Presidential Election First Round Winner”.
$4.54 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $2.62K since listing. The order book holds $16.44K, with a 1.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 69 trades, $303.41 bought Yes and $876.08 bought No.
The largest Yes position is newbie77 with 497 shares; the largest No position is DuneMentat with 614. Ten wallets hold 98% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 25 Oct 2027.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 30, 2:45 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 20 points, 3 Oct 2026 – 30 Oct 2026, chart shows 10%–50%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 3 Oct 2026 | 36.0% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 20.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| DuneMentat | No | 613.73 |
| newbie77 | Yes | 496.66 |
| Somber-Sector-Mill | No | 237.09 |
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Argentina on October 24, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Argentine government, specifically the Cámara Nacional Electoral (https://www.electoral.gob.ar/nuevo/index.php) and the Dirección Nacional Electoral (https://www.argentina.gob.ar/dine).
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/argentina-presidential-election-first-round-winner
6 more markets, none above 2.4%.
| Indigo Signal 2966 |
| No |
| 235.63 |
| musicenthusiast | Yes | 183.14 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 181.47 |
| Haradwaith | Yes | 139.06 |
| Numitus1994 | Yes | 51.99 |
| PPMT | Yes | 44 |
| pootytherewardfarmer | No | 34.3 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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