Analytics
Yes is at 75.5%, down 11 points from 86.5% when the market opened on 28 Oct 2026.
Across the 9 daily closes on record from 28 Oct 2026 to 5 Nov 2026, the highest close was 86.5% on 28 Oct 2026 and the lowest 65% on 31 Oct 2026. Its largest one-day move was 10 points up, to 76% on 2 Nov 2026.
It is one of 4 markets under “Next Israeli government formed by...?”.
$232.29 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $34.77K since listing. The order book holds $20.62K, with a 1.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 267 trades, $9.53K bought Yes and $3.09K bought No; the largest was a $1.25K buy of Yes at 69.6¢.
The largest Yes position is Shoddy-Community with 746 shares; the largest No position is Lerney with 868. Ten wallets hold 69.4% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jul 2027.
Polymarket prices as of Nov 5, 11:13 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 9 points, 28 Oct 2026 – 5 Nov 2026, chart shows 60%–100%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 28 Oct 2026 | 86.5% |
| 5 Nov 2026 | 75.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Lerney | No | 867.57 |
| rocky42006 | No | 780.21 |
| Shoddy-Community | Yes | 745.98 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a new Government of Israel is officially sworn in by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” To qualify, a newly formed government, headed by a Prime Minister and composed of appointed ministers must be sworn in before the Knesset within this market's timeframe. Only a government formed as a result of the 2026 Knesset election or any subsequent election will qualify. Caretaker or transitional governments, including the outgoing government continuing to serve in a caretaker capacity, will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel or the Knesset; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/next-israeli-government-formed-by
| 101456 |
| Yes |
| 633.21 |
| Emerald Quasar 78EE | No | 521 |
| Te0n2 | Yes | 500 |
| 881112 | Yes | 421.91 |
| petruccci | No | 300 |
| Flamboyant-Warming | Yes | 275 |
| xtxpleasecallme | No | 272.13 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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