Analytics
The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
A complete provider position result is unavailable. Missing positions and amounts are not shown as zero holdings.
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | No | 8.5K | $0.377 | $3.54K | +$334.96 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 30?Yes | buy | 511.09 | $0.677 | $346.15 | 10h ago |
|
| No |
| 2K |
| $0.737 |
| $1.59K |
| +$116.12 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 30? | Yes | 2.04K | $0.667 | $1.53K | +$168.28 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 4.38K | $0.340 | $1.42K | -$67.51 |
 Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? | No | 1.3K | $0.913 | $1.18K | -$10.5 |
 Iran full airspace closure by September 30? | No | 1.3K | $0.881 | $1.18K | +$30.45 |
| Iran full airspace closure by December 31? | No | 1.5K | $0.706 | $1.03K | -$23.91 |
 LAPTOP FDV above $100M one day after launch? | Yes | 1K | $0.965 | $975 | +$10 |
 Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | No | 1K | $0.930 | $935.01 | +$5 |
 Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by December 31, 2026? | No | 1.15K | $0.789 | $813.03 | -$96.45 |
 Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? | No | 1K | $0.770 | $795.01 | +$25 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? | Yes | 972.64 | $0.695 | $671.12 | -$4.5 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027? | No | 999.99 | $0.666 | $649.99 | -$16 |
 Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026? | No | 801.04 | $0.742 | $636.82 | +$42.11 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? | No | 800 | $0.813 | $624 | -$26 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 799.99 | $0.785 | $611.99 | -$16 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 700 | $0.849 | $605.5 | +$11.5 |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Yes | 749.99 | $0.656 | $566.24 | +$74.5 |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | No | 600.01 | $0.850 | $537 | +$27 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? | No | 577.6 | $0.733 | $516.95 | +$93.29 |
 Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by December 31, 2026? | No | 563.78 | $0.628 | $510.22 | +$156.19 |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 15, 2026? | No | 740.5 | $0.729 | $496.14 | -$43.34 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by February 28, 2027? | No | 759.99 | $0.630 | $471.19 | -$7.6 |
 NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | No | 551.8 | $0.737 | $435.92 | +$29.04 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027? | Yes | 1.2K | $0.393 | $426 | -$46 |
| buy |
| 15 |
| $0.530 |
| $7.95 |
| 10h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?Yes | buy | 121.02 | $0.498 | $60.23 | 10h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 30?Yes | buy | 587.94 | $0.643 | $377.98 | 11h ago |
 LAPTOP FDV above $3B one day after launch?No | buy | 44.85 | $0.949 | $42.56 | 11h ago |
 LAPTOP FDV above $250M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 996 | $0.910 | $906.36 | 11h ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 365 | $0.340 | $124.1 | 12h ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 800 | $0.402 | $321.8 | 13h ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by February 28, 2027?No | buy | 60 | $0.630 | $37.8 | 16h ago |
 Will Iran target Jordan by September 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 88.39 | $0.930 | $82.2 | 1d ago |
| Will Iran target Jordan by September 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.930 | $93 | 1d ago |
 Will Iran target an Arab country by September 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 62.48 | $0.940 | $58.73 | 1d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 18?Yes | sell | 327.18 | $0.660 | $216.02 | 1d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.360 | $72 | 1d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 112.5 | $0.400 | $45 | 1d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 112.5 | $0.400 | $45 | 1d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.400 | $40 | 1d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 18?Yes | buy | 27.18 | $0.673 | $18.3 | 1d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 150 | $0.430 | $64.5 | 1d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?Yes | sell | 505.3 | $0.574 | $289.88 | 1d ago |
| Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 20 | $0.645 | $12.9 | 2d ago |
 Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes | buy | 69.13 | $0.550 | $38.02 | 2d ago |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 120 | $0.412 | $49.5 | 2d ago |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026?No | buy | 53 | $0.394 | $20.87 | 3d ago |
 Will Trump speak to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in September?Yes | buy | 44 | $0.690 | $30.36 | 3d ago |
 Will Trump speak to Vladimir Putin in September?Yes | buy | 87.75 | $0.780 | $68.45 | 3d ago |
| Will Trump speak to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in September?Yes | buy | 75 | $0.819 | $61.4 | 3d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 550.77 | $0.736 | $405.51 | 4d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027?No | buy | 4.16 | $0.540 | $2.25 | 4d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027?No | buy | 410.1 | $0.510 | $209.15 | 4d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 19.99 | $0.620 | $12.39 | 4d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027?No | sell | 344.12 | $0.370 | $127.42 | 4d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027?No | sell | 4K | $0.544 | $2.18K | 4d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 800 | $0.730 | $584 | 4d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 144 | $0.250 | $36 | 5d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 189.41 | $0.350 | $66.29 | 5d ago |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 58.21 | $0.440 | $25.61 | 5d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027?No | buy | 455 | $0.350 | $159.25 | 5d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 989.81 | $0.276 | $273.56 | 5d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 5.5 | $0.300 | $1.65 | 5d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 500 | $0.627 | $313.39 | 5d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027?No | buy | 724.99 | $0.480 | $347.75 | 5d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027?No | buy | 36.6 | $0.445 | $16.3 | 5d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027?No | buy | 558 | $0.318 | $177.51 | 5d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027?No | buy | 1K | $0.460 | $460 | 5d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027?No | buy | 1.12K | $0.450 | $504.07 | 5d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027?No | buy | 14.99 | $0.400 | $6 | 5d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.410 | $4.1 | 5d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 300 | $0.420 | $126.1 | 5d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 400 | $0.520 | $207.9 | 5d ago |