Analytics
Yes is at 25.9%, up 19 points from 7% when the market opened on 6 Oct 2026.
Across the 21 daily closes on record from 6 Oct 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 (5 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 26.8% on 28 Oct 2026 and the lowest 1.2% on 14 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 9.8%. Its largest one-day move was 5.8 points up, to 26.8% on 28 Oct 2026.
It is one of 6 markets under “Fall Elections Combo: Brazil, Israel, US Senate”.
$7.99K traded in the last 24 hours, out of $25.77K since listing. The order book holds $18.74K, with a 4.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 181 trades, $4.24K bought Yes and $3.24K bought No; the largest was a $1.38K buy of Yes at 28.0¢.
The largest Yes position is buoys with 6.4K shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 10.5K. Ten wallets hold 88.1% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 5 Nov 2026, 6 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 30, 12:37 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 21 points, 6 Oct 2026 – 30 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 6 Oct 2026 | 7.0% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 25.4% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 10.48K |
| buoys | Yes | 6.37K |
| paddaa | Yes | 2.33K |
The runoff round of the Brazilian presidential election is scheduled to take place on October 25, 2026. Legislative elections in Israel are scheduled to be held on October 27, 2026. The United States midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve to the single listed outcome that matches all three of the following: the winner of the Brazilian presidential election, the first Prime Minister of Israel to be sworn in as a result of the election, and the party that wins control of the United States Senate in the midterm elections. For full rules for the Brazilian presidential election, click here: https://polymarket.com/event/brazil-presidential-election For full rules for the Israeli Prime Minister, click here: https://polymarket.com/event/who-will-be-the-next-prime-minister-of-israel-after-the-next-election For full rules for the United States Senate control, click here: https://polymarket.com/event/which-party-will-win-the-senate-in-2026 Additional options may be added to this market between market creation and resolution. In the event that any constituent market resolves to "Other," this market will resolve to "Other." This market will resolve according to the sources named in the three markets linked above.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/fall-elections-three-way-brazil-israel-us-senate-combo
| RememberAmalek |
| Yes |
| 980.08 |
| Gaditima | No | 667.79 |
| anoin123 | No | 569.99 |
| Quarzo | Yes | 515 |
| QMG-CORE | No | 500 |
| Crimson Lynx 609F | Yes | 497.17 |
| Haradwaith | Yes | 363.16 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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