Analytics
Yes is at 29%, down 9.5 points from 38.5% when the market opened on 28 Oct 2026.
Across the 9 daily closes on record from 28 Oct 2026 to 5 Nov 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 38.5% on 28 Oct 2026 and the lowest 18% on 1 Nov 2026. Its largest one-day move was 6.5 points up, to 29% on 3 Nov 2026.
It is one of 4 markets under “Next Israeli government formed by...?”.
$3.08K traded in the last 24 hours, out of $36.05K since listing. The order book holds $23.14K, with a 2.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 429 trades, $3.74K bought Yes and $7.89K bought No; the largest was a $1.56K sell of No at 77.3¢.
The largest Yes position is Fixed-Fun with 868 shares; the largest No position is willsom with 1.1K. Ten wallets hold 55% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jul 2027.
Polymarket prices as of Nov 5, 12:37 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 9 points, 28 Oct 2026 – 5 Nov 2026, chart shows 10%–50%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 28 Oct 2026 | 38.5% |
| 5 Nov 2026 | 29.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| willsom | No | 1.12K |
| Fixed-Fun | Yes | 868.41 |
| sabsabinxz | No | 810.48 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a new Government of Israel is officially sworn in by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” To qualify, a newly formed government, headed by a Prime Minister and composed of appointed ministers must be sworn in before the Knesset within this market's timeframe. Only a government formed as a result of the 2026 Knesset election or any subsequent election will qualify. Caretaker or transitional governments, including the outgoing government continuing to serve in a caretaker capacity, will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel or the Knesset; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/next-israeli-government-formed-by
| Gladius7 |
| No |
| 802.3 |
| dhadad01 | No | 800 |
| MeNeverLoose | Yes | 747.02 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 648.75 |
| 0x49F206 | No | 584.23 |
| TheMogger72 | Yes | 509.09 |
| Eire | No | 473 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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