Analytics
Yes is at 7.8%, down 8.7 points from 16.5% when the market opened on 28 Oct 2026.
Across the 8 daily closes on record from 28 Oct 2026 to 5 Nov 2026 (2 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 16.5% on 28 Oct 2026 and the lowest 5.3% on 3 Nov 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 11.5%. Its largest one-day move was 5 points down, to 11.5% on 29 Oct 2026.
It is one of 4 markets under “Next Israeli government formed by...?”.
$9.72K traded in the last 24 hours, out of $47.32K since listing. The order book holds $64.48K, with a 0.2% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 327 trades, $1.71K bought Yes and $13.64K bought No; the largest was a $1.65K buy of No at 85.4¢.
The largest Yes position is nnimrodd with 4.3K shares; the largest No position is Sticky-Closing with 3.1K. Ten wallets hold 71.2% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jul 2027.
Polymarket prices as of Nov 5, 12:37 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 8 points, 28 Oct 2026 – 5 Nov 2026, chart shows 0%–20%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 28 Oct 2026 | 16.5% |
| 5 Nov 2026 | 7.8% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| nnimrodd | Yes | 4.33K |
| Sticky-Closing | No | 3.15K |
| dhadad01 | No | 2.77K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a new Government of Israel is officially sworn in by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” To qualify, a newly formed government, headed by a Prime Minister and composed of appointed ministers must be sworn in before the Knesset within this market's timeframe. Only a government formed as a result of the 2026 Knesset election or any subsequent election will qualify. Caretaker or transitional governments, including the outgoing government continuing to serve in a caretaker capacity, will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel or the Knesset; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/next-israeli-government-formed-by
| Coordinated-Leather |
| No |
| 2K |
| sabsabinxz | No | 1.96K |
| afuro89 | Yes | 1.63K |
| mw97 | Yes | 1.5K |
| ArmageddonRewardsBilly | No | 1.49K |
| rotts | Yes | 1.04K |
| gater777 | Yes | 1K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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