Analytics
Yes is at 39.1%, up 39 points from 0.7% when the market opened on 15 Aug 2026.
The high was 39.1% on 16 Oct 2026 and the low 0.7% on 15 Aug 2026. A week ago Yes was at 27.5%; a month ago, 10.3%. Its largest one-day move was 8.6 points up, to 29.3% on 5 Oct 2026.
Puma Shen ranks second of the 3 outcomes in “Taipei Mayor Election Winner”. Chiang Wan-an leads at 61.5%; Kuo Hsi is at 0.1%.
$21.36K traded in the last 24 hours, out of $556.19K since listing. The order book holds $93.98K, with a 1.1% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 500 trades, $31.29K bought Yes and $23K bought No; the largest was a $5.61K buy of Yes at 35.7¢.
The largest Yes position is Ccmun with 28.1K shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 185.2K. Ten wallets hold 57% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 29 Nov 2026, 44 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 16, 7:07 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 64 points, 15 Aug 2026 – 16 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 15 Aug 2026 | 0.7% |
| 16 Oct 2026 | 39.1% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 185.15K |
| ArmageddonRewardsBilly | No | 42.57K |
| Ccmun | Yes | 28.07K |
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Taipei as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/taipei-mayor-election-winner-20260813125857100
| Icepie | Yes | 27.25K |
| FunMike | Yes | 22.2K |
| Quebeclove | No | 18.69K |
| winnehs | Yes | 17.56K |
| guguatca | Yes | 15.45K |
| dsarewkgf | Yes | 14.57K |
| aoiaoiboo | Yes | 12.45K |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
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