Analytics
Trading ended on 14 Sep 2026 with Yes at 71.5%; Polymarket has not settled it yet.
Across the 262 daily closes on record from 20 Jan 2026 to 28 Oct 2026 (20 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 93.5% on 17 Sep 2026 and the lowest 55.5% on 9 Apr 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 77.5%; a month before, 84.5%. Its largest one-day move was 25 points up, to 89.5% on 14 Sep 2026.
Magdalena Andersson is the favourite of the 10 outcomes in “Next Prime Minister of Sweden”, ahead of Ulf Kristersson at 21%.
$2.79M has traded since listing.
The largest Yes position is Siddhartha1 with 70K shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 364.7K. Ten wallets hold 51.4% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Polymarket record as of Oct 28, 1:48 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 262 points, 20 Jan 2026 – 28 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 20 Jan 2026 | 76.0% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 71.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 364.72K |
| Siddhartha1 | Yes | 69.99K |
| madmartigan5 | No | 55.46K |
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and assumes office as Prime Minister of Sweden following the next parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must officially assume office. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister assumes office by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Sweden; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/next-prime-minister-of-sweden
| thegreatjeff | Yes | 54.71K |
| MemeKing20 | Yes | 37.73K |
| Faraway-Ellipse | No | 33.58K |
| flawfence | Yes | 32.52K |
| odyssey33 | Yes | 31.47K |
| tourists | Yes | 28.74K |
| justtryingtosurvive | No | 27.54K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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