Analytics
Yes is at 34.5%, down 13 points from 47% when the market opened on 2 Jun 2026.
Across the 148 daily closes on record from 2 Jun 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 (3 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 60% on 10 Aug 2026 and the lowest 32.5% on 7 Jul 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 37.5%; a month before, 46.5%. Its largest one-day move was 17 points up, to 55% on 8 Aug 2026.
It is one of 36 markets under “Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?”.
$30 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $12.8K since listing. The order book holds $33.4K, with a 1.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 195 trades, $2.13K bought Yes and $3.07K bought No.
The largest Yes position is Fuentes31 with 2.2K shares; the largest No position is flovertaco with 1.2K. Ten wallets hold 66.1% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 19 Apr 2027.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 30, 11:51 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 148 points, 2 Jun 2026 – 30 Oct 2026, chart shows 20%–70%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 2 Jun 2026 | 47.0% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 34.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Fuentes31 | Yes | 2.22K |
| flovertaco | No | 1.19K |
| BurstedBubble | Yes | 1.14K |
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presidential election or wins the election outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no such election occurs or the results of the first round of this election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/next-french-presidential-election-who-will-advance-to-the-2nd-round
24 more markets, none above 5.0%.
| ymbetzzz |
| No |
| 1.04K |
| Donintello | No | 607.57 |
| Telluxion | Yes | 500 |
| qjilala | No | 473.26 |
| DFK | No | 435.08 |
| nidrac2 | No | 417.78 |
| Deadly-Hint | No | 406 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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