Analytics
Yes is at 71%, up 15 points from 56% when the market opened on 28 Oct 2026.
Across the 9 daily closes on record from 28 Oct 2026 to 5 Nov 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 71% on 5 Nov 2026 and the lowest 39% on 30 Oct 2026. Its largest one-day move was 17 points up, to 71% on 5 Nov 2026.
María Corina Machado is the favourite of the 10 outcomes in “Next Venezuelan Presidential Election Winner”, ahead of Delcy Rodríguez at 10.5%.
$18.34K traded in the last 24 hours, out of $38.9K since listing. The order book holds $11.7K, with a 6.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 230 trades, $13.17K bought Yes and $3.9K bought No; the largest was a $7.8K buy of Yes at 55.8¢.
The largest Yes position is pkz with 18.8K shares; the largest No position is Crock95 with 3.8K. Ten wallets hold 81.4% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2030.
Polymarket prices as of Nov 5, 12:37 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 9 points, 28 Oct 2026 – 5 Nov 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 28 Oct 2026 | 56.0% |
| 5 Nov 2026 | 71.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| pkz | Yes | 18.8K |
| Crock95 | No | 3.8K |
| ArmageddonRewardsBilly | No | 2.8K |
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Venezuelan presidential election to take place by December 31, 2029, 11:59 PM ET. Any appointment or selection of a president not made through a popular election does not qualify as a presidential election. If no Venezuelan presidential election takes place by December 31, 2029, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. If a Venezuelan presidential election takes place, but no winner is officially declared by 11:59 PM ET on the 365th calendar day following the date of the election, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the winner of the election as officially declared by the National Electoral Council of Venezuela, or a successor Venezuelan electoral authority.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/next-venezuelan-presidential-election-winner
| 0xwordjnn |
| No |
| 1.94K |
| archaic | No | 1.79K |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 1.63K |
| luck67 | No | 1.32K |
| SPLPB | No | 790.01 |
| Bright-Financing | No | 681.91 |
| melonmanm | Yes | 669.21 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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