Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 3K | $0.992 | $2.98K | +$0.5 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.490 | $24.5 | 10h ago |
| No |
| 1.95K |
| $0.858 |
| $1.74K |
| +$71.11 |
 Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 1.1K | $0.960 | $1.08K | +$22.94 |
 US Government removes public access to another Anthropic AI model in 2026? | No | 895.51 | $0.768 | $837.3 | +$149.36 |
 U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by December 31? | No | 576.16 | $0.819 | $547.64 | +$75.79 |
 Will Iran target Ukraine by September 30, 2026? | No | 549.99 | $0.956 | $542.02 | +$16.41 |
 Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31? | Yes | 2.19K | $0.268 | $492.68 | -$94.11 |
 Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? | No | 451.28 | $0.761 | $399.39 | +$56.03 |
 Will Iran target Qatar by September 15, 2026? | No | 434.39 | $0.642 | $395.29 | +$116.19 |
 US x Cuba military clash in 2026? | No | 436.88 | $0.770 | $377.9 | +$41.5 |
 Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by September 15, 2026? | Yes | 450.58 | $0.825 | $360.46 | -$11.06 |
 Will Sagal Abdi-Wali win the Holborn and St Pancras by-election? | Yes | 462.58 | $0.586 | $319.18 | +$48.32 |
 Will Shabana Mahmood be the first to leave the Burnham cabinet? | No | 283 | $0.651 | $278.19 | +$93.84 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 500 | $0.505 | $267.5 | +$15 |
 Will Iran target Saudi Arabia by September 15, 2026? | No | 280.53 | $0.829 | $252.48 | +$19.89 |
 Will Anthropic reset Claude usage limit by October 31? | Yes | 459 | $0.538 | $240.98 | -$6.09 |
 Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026? | No | 245.1 | $0.774 | $207.11 | +$17.48 |
 Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 250 | $0.796 | $203.13 | +$4.13 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | No | 199.99 | $0.950 | $193.99 | +$4 |
 Will Iran target Qatar by September 30, 2026? | No | 239.02 | $0.714 | $188.83 | +$18.27 |
 UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31? | No | 210 | $0.800 | $181.65 | +$13.55 |
 Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by September 30? | Yes | 1.06K | $0.115 | $164.3 | +$42.9 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by December 31? | No | 182.27 | $0.800 | $152.2 | +$6.37 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? | No | 155 | $0.886 | $148.03 | +$10.63 |
 Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026? | No | 149.97 | $0.740 | $141.8 | +$30.87 |
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Yes| buy |
| 36.5 |
| $0.830 |
| $30.28 |
| 11h ago |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?Yes | buy | 186.98 | $0.480 | $89.75 | 11h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.470 | $47 | 11h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?Yes | buy | 149.97 | $0.269 | $40.27 | 11h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 199.99 | $0.269 | $53.9 | 11h ago |
| Will Sagal Abdi-Wali win the Holborn and St Pancras by-election?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.672 | $33.6 | 13h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.590 | $59 | 16h ago |
 Will there be 5 or fewer UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026?No | buy | 161.63 | $0.998 | $161.31 | 17h ago |
 US-Saudi nuclear deal enters into force in 2026?Yes | buy | 73.53 | $0.103 | $7.61 | 18h ago |
 Next DeepSeek Pro released by November 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 43.96 | $0.790 | $34.73 | 19h ago |
| Next DeepSeek Pro released by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 8.94 | $0.450 | $4.02 | 19h ago |
| Next DeepSeek Pro released by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 60 | $0.447 | $26.81 | 19h ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 124.2 | $0.993 | $123.33 | 20h ago |
| Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by September 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 130 | $0.838 | $108.9 | 21h ago |
| Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by September 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 40.83 | $0.850 | $34.71 | 21h ago |
| Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by September 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.837 | $167.33 | 21h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?No | buy | 500 | $0.390 | $195 | 21h ago |
 Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 325 | $0.820 | $266.5 | 21h ago |
 Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,000?No | buy | 100 | $0.780 | $78 | 1d ago |
 Will USD be between 2.5M and 2.8M Iranian rials on September 30?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.190 | $3.8 | 1d ago |
| Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,000?No | buy | 100 | $0.770 | $77 | 1d ago |
| Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,000?Yes | buy | 150 | $0.243 | $36.51 | 1d ago |
| Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,000?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.240 | $12 | 1d ago |
| Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,100?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.127 | $3.82 | 1d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?No | buy | 50 | $0.590 | $29.5 | 1d ago |
 US strike on Colombia by December 31?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.176 | $17.6 | 1d ago |
 Will Trump say "Tunnel to Towers" during remarks at Steel Across America?Yes | buy | 34 | $0.880 | $29.92 | 1d ago |
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?No | buy | 200 | $0.850 | $170 | 2d ago |
 Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes | buy | 60 | $0.964 | $57.84 | 2d ago |
| Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by September 30?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.135 | $5.4 | 3d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?No | buy | 30 | $0.330 | $9.9 | 4d ago |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 155 | $0.307 | $47.65 | 4d ago |
 Another Frontier Math Problem Solved by September 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.770 | $3.85 | 5d ago |
| Another Frontier Math Problem Solved by September 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.700 | $28 | 5d ago |
| Another Frontier Math Problem Solved by September 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.676 | $135.2 | 5d ago |
| Will Sagal Abdi-Wali win the Holborn and St Pancras by-election?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.620 | $62 | 5d ago |
| Will the next UK parliament by-election be called by September 30?Yes | buy | 225 | $0.849 | $191 | 5d ago |
| Will Sagal Abdi-Wali win the Holborn and St Pancras by-election?Yes | buy | 292.97 | $0.572 | $167.56 | 5d ago |
| Another Frontier Math Problem Solved by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.640 | $12.8 | 6d ago |
| Another Frontier Math Problem Solved by September 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.420 | $16.8 | 6d ago |
| Another Frontier Math Problem Solved by September 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 130 | $0.420 | $54.6 | 6d ago |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?Yes | buy | 208.68 | $0.860 | $179.46 | 6d ago |
| Will the next UK parliament by-election be called by September 30?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.700 | $14 | 7d ago |
| Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 5 | $0.978 | $4.89 | 7d ago |
| Will Sagal Abdi-Wali win the Holborn and St Pancras by-election?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.450 | $4.5 | 7d ago |
| Will Sagal Abdi-Wali win the Holborn and St Pancras by-election?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.450 | $4.5 | 7d ago |
| Will Sagal Abdi-Wali win the Holborn and St Pancras by-election?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.450 | $4.5 | 7d ago |
| Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 49.97 | $0.840 | $41.97 | 7d ago |
 Will Iran target Iraq by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 6.58 | $0.932 | $6.13 | 7d ago |