Analytics
Yes is at 14.5%, down 36 points from 50% when the market opened on 26 May 2026.
Across the 152 daily closes on record from 26 May 2026 to 28 Oct 2026 (5 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 53.5% on 28 May 2026 and the lowest 5.5% on 26 Sep 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 7%; a month before, 8%. Its largest one-day move was 43 points down, to 10.5% on 29 May 2026.
It is one of 2 markets under “UK election called by...?”.
$1.28K traded in the last 24 hours, out of $44.66K since listing. The order book holds $3.08K, with a 11.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 465 trades, $3.74K bought Yes and $11.26K bought No; the largest was a $1.08K buy of Yes at 38.1¢.
The largest Yes position is HOD-Capital with 3.4K shares; the largest No position is melonmanm with 2.3K. Ten wallets hold 53.5% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 65 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 2:00 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 152 points, 26 May 2026 – 28 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 26 May 2026 | 50.0% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 14.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| HOD-Capital | Yes | 3.37K |
| melonmanm | No | 2.32K |
| MrMarket | Yes | 1.94K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/uk-election-called-by
| knrad |
| No |
| 1.8K |
| Eire | No | 1.76K |
| JPLP | No | 1.65K |
| vyemfql | No | 1.55K |
| Kevlar-bob | Yes | 1.52K |
| Fresh-Ordinary | No | 1.18K |
| Tall-Assistance | Yes | 1.15K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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