Analytics
The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
A complete provider position result is unavailable. Missing positions and amounts are not shown as zero holdings.
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 12.6K | $0.267 | $5.75K | +$2.39K |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 20 | $0.870 | $17.4 | 9h ago |
 |
| No |
| 2.91K |
| $0.915 |
| $2.81K |
| +$150.88 |
 Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? | Yes | 2.3K | $0.852 | $2.18K | +$219.64 |
 Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? | No | 1.5K | $0.919 | $1.45K | +$67.85 |
 Will the next UK election be called by December 31, 2026? | No | 1.45K | $0.780 | $1.29K | +$166.35 |
 Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | Yes | 2K | $0.626 | $1.29K | +$37.77 |
 Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 1.2K | $0.864 | $1.17K | +$137.8 |
 Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 1.92K | $0.537 | $1.08K | +$52.81 |
 Will GameStop acquire eBay? | No | 1K | $0.841 | $925 | +$84 |
 Any country withdraws from EU before 2027? | No | 914.33 | $0.917 | $894.21 | +$55.31 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 1.5K | $0.423 | $787.49 | +$152.86 |
 Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? | No | 850 | $0.876 | $743.75 | -$0.75 |
 Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? | No | 800.01 | $0.830 | $676 | +$12 |
 Will the Democrats win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 738.64 | $0.878 | $675.86 | +$26.94 |
 Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027? | No | 757.68 | $0.793 | $651.6 | +$50.97 |
 Will Jorginho Mello win the Governor of Santa Catarina election? | Yes | 632 | $0.876 | $613.04 | +$59.12 |
 Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 600.02 | $0.824 | $525.02 | +$30.85 |
 Trump out as President before 2027? | No | 551.47 | $0.857 | $521.14 | +$48.45 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 600.08 | $0.633 | $513.07 | +$133.09 |
 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | Yes | 1K | $0.361 | $505 | +$144 |
 Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | No | 699.94 | $0.636 | $500.46 | +$55.5 |
 Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | Yes | 596.87 | $0.618 | $480.48 | +$111.83 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 999.97 | $0.434 | $474.99 | +$41 |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 559.98 | $0.261 | $464.79 | +$318.59 |
 Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 1.3K | $0.294 | $463.45 | +$81.65 |
| sell |
| 741.87 |
| $0.810 |
| $600.91 |
| 2d ago |
| Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes | sell | 1K | $0.640 | $640 | 13d ago |
 Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?No | buy | 79.35 | $0.790 | $62.69 | 15d ago |
 Will Linke win between 8% and 11% of all valid second votes?Yes | buy | 60 | $0.330 | $19.8 | 16d ago |
 Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: AfD Over/Under 42%?Under | buy | 50 | $0.383 | $19.17 | 16d ago |
| Will AfD win at least 45% of all valid second votes?No | buy | 120 | $0.820 | $98.4 | 16d ago |
 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: More Votes to CDU or Linke?CDU | buy | 100 | $0.329 | $32.85 | 16d ago |
| Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 600 | $0.540 | $324 | 19d ago |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.016 | $1.6 | 19d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.060 | $12 | 19d ago |
 Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.290 | $14.5 | 20d ago |
| Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.290 | $14.5 | 20d ago |
| Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Yes | buy | 12.82 | $0.220 | $2.82 | 20d ago |
| Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.530 | $53 | 21d ago |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | buy | 20 | $0.720 | $14.4 | 21d ago |
| Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Yes | buy | 400 | $0.180 | $72 | 21d ago |
 Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?No | buy | 755.18 | $0.991 | $748.38 | 22d ago |
| Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?No | sell | 402.86 | $0.900 | $362.57 | 22d ago |
 Will Mark Sanford be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.002 | $2 | 22d ago |
| Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?No | buy | 800 | $0.991 | $792.8 | 22d ago |
 Dana White's Contender Series: Trent Miller vs. Douglas Rodrigues (Middleweight, Main Card)Trent Miller | buy | 100 | $0.256 | $25.6 | 22d ago |
| Any country withdraws from EU before 2027?No | sell | 137.24 | $0.966 | $132.57 | 22d ago |
 Will the Republicans win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?Yes | sell | 472.03 | $0.140 | $66.08 | 22d ago |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?No | sell | 100 | $0.999 | $99.9 | 22d ago |
 Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?Yes | sell | 0.1 | $0.860 | $0.09 | 22d ago |
 Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No | sell | 23.96 | $0.969 | $23.22 | 22d ago |
| Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.530 | $106 | 23d ago |
| Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.580 | $11.6 | 25d ago |
| Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 80 | $0.560 | $44.8 | 26d ago |
| Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 80 | $0.560 | $44.8 | 26d ago |
 Will Donald Trump visit Syria in 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.900 | $9 | 27d ago |
 Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?Yes | sell | 150 | $0.991 | $148.65 | 27d ago |
 Will Cait Conley win the NY-17 Democratic Primary by more than 15%?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.984 | $39.34 | 27d ago |
 Will John E. Sununu be the Republican nominee for Senate in New Hampshire?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.953 | $47.63 | 28d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?No | buy | 32.37 | $0.959 | $31.04 | Aug 10, 2026 |
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?No | buy | 200 | $0.800 | $160 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.800 | $80 | Aug 9, 2026 |
 Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?No | buy | 40 | $0.400 | $16 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.400 | $40 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Will Jorginho Mello win the Governor of Santa Catarina election?Yes | buy | 60 | $0.930 | $55.8 | Aug 6, 2026 |
 Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?No | buy | 80 | $0.660 | $52.8 | Aug 6, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Bitcoin", "Crypto", or "Cryptocurrency" during remarks in Las Vegas?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.070 | $3.5 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 Will Bert Mizusawa be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?No | buy | 300 | $0.070 | $21 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?No | buy | 50 | $0.620 | $31 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?Yes | buy | 30.66 | $0.630 | $19.32 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?No | buy | 100 | $0.620 | $62 | Aug 3, 2026 |
 Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?No | sell | 427.92 | $0.080 | $34.23 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?No | buy | 500 | $0.983 | $491.5 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will Jorginho Mello win the Governor of Santa Catarina election?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.870 | $87 | Jul 30, 2026 |