Analytics
Yes is at 17%, down 7 points from 24% when the market opened on 10 Oct 2026.
Across the 16 daily closes on record from 10 Oct 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 (5 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 34% on 11 Oct 2026 and the lowest 15% on 30 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 19%. Its largest one-day move was 12 points up, to 29.5% on 14 Oct 2026.
$110.12 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $32.41K since listing. The order book holds $12.08K, with a 2.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 388 trades, $5.04K bought Yes and $6.69K bought No; the largest was a $1.16K buy of No at 79.9¢.
The largest Yes position is bd.boy with 10K shares; the largest No position is Cuddly-Pillar with 7.1K. Ten wallets hold 81.2% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 63 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 30, 11:21 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 16 points, 10 Oct 2026 – 30 Oct 2026, chart shows 10%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 10 Oct 2026 | 24.0% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 17.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| bd.boy | Yes | 10.03K |
| Cuddly-Pillar | No | 7.1K |
| iloveyield | No | 2.71K |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Gyanesh Kumar ceases to be Chief Election Commissioner of India for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Gyanesh Kumar's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Gyanesh Kumar, the Election Commission of India, and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/gyanesh-kumar-out-as-chief-election-commissioner-of-india-by-december-31
| iHaveBeenPwned |
| No |
| 1.37K |
| nostradamust | Yes | 1.1K |
| Golu13 | Yes | 867.62 |
| melonmanm | No | 700 |
| teraghata | No | 589.65 |
| HerrieDavis | Yes | 422.02 |
| alonemusk | Yes | 414.03 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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