Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will United Russia win fewer than 280 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? | No | 18.68K | $0.941 | $18.07K | +$492.24 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?Yes | sell | 10.88K | $0.990 | $10.77K | 29d ago |
 |
| No |
| 17.32K |
| $0.507 |
| $14.63K |
| +$5.85K |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026? | No | 13.1K | $0.823 | $12.99K | +$2.21K |
 Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? | No | 18.43K | $0.488 | $10.97K | +$1.97K |
 Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | Yes | 16.54K | $0.481 | $9.73K | +$1.78K |
 Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31? | No | 10.34K | $0.900 | $8.9K | -$418.09 |
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 18.89K | $0.031 | $8.78K | +$8.19K |
 Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | No | 10.79K | $0.489 | $8.54K | +$3.27K |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 14.12K | $0.031 | $7.27K | +$6.83K |
 Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | No | 17.95K | $0.458 | $6.72K | -$1.49K |
 Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31? | No | 6.34K | $0.397 | $5.8K | +$3.29K |
 China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | No | 6.21K | $0.934 | $5.79K | -$8.08 |
 Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026? | No | 6.12K | $0.861 | $5.72K | +$452.78 |
 Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | No | 5.72K | $0.818 | $5.2K | +$523.4 |
 Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | No | 6.08K | $0.792 | $4.96K | +$136.99 |
 Fed rate hike in 2026? | No | 18.52K | $0.188 | $4.91K | +$1.42K |
 Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting? | Yes | 7.38K | $0.501 | $4.76K | +$1.06K |
 Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30? | Yes | 16.91K | $0.425 | $4.74K | -$2.45K |
 Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 4.81K | $0.924 | $4.5K | +$59.65 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | Yes | 5.79K | $0.676 | $4.37K | +$454.04 |
 Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 8.08K | $0.157 | $4.35K | +$3.08K |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | No | 4.3K | $0.630 | $4.23K | +$1.53K |
 Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026? | No | 4K | $0.974 | $3.97K | +$70 |
 Will OpenAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of September 2026? | No | 4.12K | $0.760 | $3.77K | +$632.93 |
 Xi Jinping out before 2027? | No | 3.8K | $0.937 | $3.65K | +$93.06 |
| sell |
| 1.25K |
| $0.980 |
| $1.22K |
| 29d ago |
 US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?No | sell | 12.17 | $0.370 | $4.5 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?No | sell | 30 | $0.770 | $23.1 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No | sell | 6.41 | $0.154 | $0.99 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | sell | 29.2 | $0.476 | $13.9 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 22.02 | $0.600 | $13.21 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No | sell | 6 | $0.162 | $0.97 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 15 | $0.637 | $9.56 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 70 | $0.209 | $14.63 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Yes | sell | 115.81 | $0.430 | $49.8 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 Will a ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Yes | sell | 5.27 | $0.320 | $1.69 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 40 | $0.636 | $25.44 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 7.74 | $0.190 | $1.47 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 15.06 | $0.929 | $13.99 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?No | sell | 22.32 | $0.794 | $17.72 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 7.95 | $0.638 | $5.07 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Yes | sell | 7.49 | $0.570 | $4.27 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?Yes | sell | 110.01 | $0.590 | $64.91 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No | sell | 6.41 | $0.155 | $0.99 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?Yes | sell | 17.07 | $0.550 | $9.39 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 30.12 | $0.926 | $27.89 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?No | sell | 7.49 | $0.785 | $5.88 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Yes | sell | 450.32 | $0.490 | $220.66 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 14.99 | $0.637 | $9.55 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?No | sell | 11.74 | $0.250 | $2.94 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No | sell | 13.58 | $0.155 | $2.1 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the UAE by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 135 | $0.002 | $0.27 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Yes | sell | 13.96 | $0.500 | $6.98 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?Yes | sell | 31.49 | $0.630 | $19.84 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Turkey by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 134.99 | $0.005 | $0.67 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 50 | $0.632 | $31.6 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another country by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 135 | $0.009 | $1.21 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No | sell | 11.42 | $0.155 | $1.77 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?No | sell | 35.89 | $0.789 | $28.32 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.590 | $5.9 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 14.01 | $0.928 | $13 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 Israel closes its airspace by August 15?Yes | sell | 20.32 | $0.110 | $2.24 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Yes | sell | 56.31 | $0.470 | $26.47 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?Yes | sell | 9 | $0.630 | $5.67 | Aug 3, 2026 |
 US strike on Colombia by December 31?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.230 | $2.3 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?No | sell | 10 | $0.777 | $7.77 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by August 15?Yes | sell | 19.96 | $0.110 | $2.2 | Aug 3, 2026 |
 Will Vladimir Putin be the next leader out before 2027?Yes | sell | 110.06 | $0.030 | $3.3 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Yes | sell | 173.27 | $0.520 | $90.1 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No | sell | 19.03 | $0.155 | $2.95 | Aug 3, 2026 |
 Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31?Yes | sell | 8 | $0.530 | $4.24 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Yes | sell | 170.6 | $0.600 | $102.36 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?No | sell | 3.07 | $0.350 | $1.07 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?Yes | sell | 50.07 | $0.640 | $32.04 | Aug 3, 2026 |