Analytics
Yes is at 87%, up 35 points from 52% when the market opened on 4 Oct 2026.
Across the 23 daily closes on record from 4 Oct 2026 to 28 Oct 2026 (3 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 91% on 27 Oct 2026 and the lowest 52% on 4 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 88.5%. Its largest one-day move was 15 points up, to 66.5% on 5 Oct 2026.
It is one of 2 markets under “USS George H.W. Bush in CENTCOM on...?”.
$20 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $10.48K since listing. The order book holds $1.61K, with a 16.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 185 trades, $2.66K bought Yes and $1.12K bought No.
The largest Yes position is melonmanm with 591 shares; the largest No position is rocky42015 with 792. Ten wallets hold 90.1% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Nov 2026, 4 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 9:14 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 23 points, 4 Oct 2026 – 28 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 4 Oct 2026 | 52.0% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 87.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| rocky42015 | No | 791.61 |
| melonmanm | Yes | 590.67 |
| Jydyjyd | Yes | 547.97 |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the USS George H.W. Bush (CVN-77) is physically located within the U.S. Central Command (CENTCOM) area of responsibility at 12:00 PM ET on the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The ship's location will be determined by official information from the U.S. Navy, the U.S. Department of Defense, U.S. Central Command, U.S. Indo-Pacific Command, or U.S. European Command, or by a consensus of credible reporting. The ship's location at the specified time may be established by information published after that time. Port calls, temporary stops, or other movements within the CENTCOM area of responsibility will count as being within the area. Port calls, crew liberty, transits, or other movements outside the CENTCOM area of responsibility (e.g., in the U.S. Indo-Pacific Command or U.S. European Command areas of responsibility) will not count, regardless of whether the ship remains assigned to CENTCOM operations or subsequently returns. Announcements, orders, schedules, or reports that the ship will depart, will return, or is assigned to operations in the region will not by themselves establish its location. In the event of ambiguity as to whether the USS George H.W. Bush was within the specified area at the specified time, this market will remain open until the earlier of: (i) confirmation of the ship's location at the specified time, or (ii) the end of the seventh calendar day (ET) following the listed date. The market will resolve based on the totality of information available at that time. If there is material ambiguity as to whether the USS George H.W. Bush was within the specified area at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the United States government and military, including the U.S. Navy, the Department of Defense, U.S. Central Command, U.S. Indo-Pacific Command, and U.S. European Command, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/uss-george-hw-bush-in-centcom-onptptpt
| PavtheGreat |
| Yes |
| 329 |
| dpnd | No | 317.41 |
| xtxpleasecallme | No | 266.77 |
| kanhaoleaha | No | 152.49 |
| mehanizator | No | 100 |
| pootytherewardfarmer | Yes | 78.9 |
| Fihdrzgdd | No | 60 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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