Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? | No | 1.72K | $0.852 | $1.63K | +$163.07 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will "Fall 2: Deadpoint" score at least 54 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Yes | buy | 228 | $0.642 | $146.46 | 9h ago |
 |
| No |
| 1.4K |
| $0.744 |
| $1.15K |
| +$113.47 |
 Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 70m? | No | 975 | $0.773 | $872.63 | +$118.51 |
 Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026? | No | 915 | $0.810 | $837.23 | +$96.43 |
 US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 30? | No | 783 | $0.822 | $764.21 | +$120.86 |
 Will Anthropic IPO by October 15, 2026? | No | 732 | $0.893 | $688.08 | +$34.18 |
 Will 40 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 7-September 13? | No | 700 | $0.929 | $669.9 | +$19.66 |
 Will GitHub's longest critical incident in September 2026 be at least 12 hours? | No | 717 | $0.722 | $663.23 | +$145.49 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | No | 800 | $0.220 | $652 | +$476 |
 IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by December 31? | No | 655 | $0.790 | $569.85 | +$52.4 |
 Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 650 | $0.920 | $562.25 | -$35.75 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 915 | $0.820 | $544.43 | -$205.88 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | No | 540 | $0.680 | $531.36 | +$164.16 |
 Will China become the #2 global art market in 2026? | No | 591.97 | $0.748 | $517.97 | +$74.94 |
 Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? | No | 558.62 | $0.849 | $494.38 | +$19.95 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 1.05K | $0.565 | $477.75 | -$115.84 |
 Will OpenAI be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 500 | $0.797 | $470 | +$71.46 |
 Next Muse Spark (1.4+) released by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 540 | $0.600 | $461.7 | +$137.7 |
 Foreign intervention in Gaza by September 30? | No | 465 | $0.810 | $456.4 | +$79.75 |
| Will OpenAI have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 515 | $0.730 | $456.03 | +$80.08 |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 15? | No | 450 | $0.900 | $447.3 | +$42.3 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? | Yes | 500 | $0.800 | $432.5 | +$32.5 |
 China x Philippines military clash before 2027? | No | 580 | $0.690 | $426.3 | +$26.1 |
| Will 210-229 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between September 7-September 13? | No | 442.61 | $0.780 | $413.84 | +$68.6 |
 Iran full airspace closure by September 30? | No | 445 | $0.900 | $402.73 | +$2.23 |
| buy |
| 48 |
| $0.850 |
| $40.8 |
| 9h ago |
| Will 210-229 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between September 7-September 13?No | buy | 442.61 | $0.780 | $345.24 | 20h ago |
 Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 30?No | buy | 100 | $0.270 | $27 | 21h ago |
| Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 15?No | buy | 200 | $0.850 | $170 | 21h ago |
| Will 30-34 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 7-September 13?No | buy | 160 | $0.820 | $131.2 | 1d ago |
| Next Muse Spark (1.4+) released by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 540 | $0.600 | $324 | 1d ago |
 Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 960m and 970m by September 30?Yes | buy | 850 | $0.017 | $14.1 | 1d ago |
| Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 70m?No | buy | 975 | $0.773 | $754.12 | 1d ago |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of September 2026?Yes | sell | 488.47 | $0.071 | $34.89 | 1d ago |
| Will 40 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 7-September 13?No | buy | 700 | $0.929 | $650.24 | 3d ago |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 185.09 | $0.141 | $26.13 | 3d ago |
| Will Anthropic IPO by October 15, 2026?No | buy | 732 | $0.893 | $653.9 | 3d ago |
| Will Anthropic IPO by October 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 760 | $0.111 | $84.6 | 3d ago |
| China x Philippines military clash before 2027?No | buy | 580 | $0.690 | $400.2 | 5d ago |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?No | buy | 544.73 | $0.849 | $462.62 | 5d ago |
 Will the Iowa 2026 Senate race be within 5%?Yes | buy | 450 | $0.628 | $282.8 | 5d ago |
| Will the North Carolina 2026 Senate race be within 5%?No | buy | 157.3 | $0.580 | $91.23 | 5d ago |
| Will the Florida Special 2026 Senate race be within 5%?No | buy | 513 | $0.650 | $333.45 | 5d ago |
| Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes | sell | 625.57 | $0.810 | $506.94 | 5d ago |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.750 | $30 | 5d ago |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 164 | $0.274 | $44.93 | 5d ago |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 145 | $0.279 | $40.41 | 5d ago |
| Will 210-229 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between August 31-September 6?No | buy | 280 | $0.824 | $230.7 | 6d ago |
| Will 170-189 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between August 31-September 6?No | sell | 620 | $0.650 | $402.95 | 6d ago |
| Will 180-199 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between August 24-August 30?No | sell | 10 | $0.002 | $0.02 | 7d ago |
 OpenAI IPO before 2027?No | buy | 350.99 | $0.850 | $298.34 | 8d ago |
| Will 170-189 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between August 31-September 6?No | buy | 620 | $0.706 | $437.48 | 8d ago |
| Will there be between 25 and 29 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on August 31?Yes | buy | 350 | $0.446 | $155.96 | 9d ago |
| Will there be between 0 and 5 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on September 30?No | buy | 297.66 | $0.612 | $182.07 | 9d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.800 | $400 | 9d ago |
| Will there be between 30 and 34 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on August 31?No | buy | 520 | $0.860 | $447.2 | 9d ago |
| Iran full airspace closure by September 30?No | buy | 445 | $0.900 | $400.5 | 9d ago |
 Will Enzo Fernandez join Manchester City?Yes | buy | 69 | $0.860 | $59.34 | 9d ago |
 Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 1, 2026?No | buy | 240 | $0.417 | $100.08 | 9d ago |
 Will the total domestic gross for The Odyssey be at least 570m by August 31?Yes | sell | 625 | $0.001 | $0.63 | 9d ago |
 Will Iran target the United Arab Emirates by September 15, 2026?No | sell | 40.9 | $0.051 | $2.1 | 9d ago |
| Will Iran target the United Arab Emirates by September 15, 2026?No | sell | 259.09 | $0.056 | $14.52 | 9d ago |
| Will OpenAI be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.797 | $398.54 | 9d ago |
| Will 230 or more ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between August 31-September 6?No | buy | 120 | $0.850 | $102 | 10d ago |
| Will Anthropic IPO by October 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 696.06 | $0.690 | $480.28 | 10d ago |
| Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 145 | $0.910 | $131.95 | 10d ago |
| Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 190 | $0.770 | $146.3 | 10d ago |
 Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 415 | $0.504 | $209.33 | 10d ago |
 Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.02K | $0.299 | $303.96 | 12d ago |
| Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.296 | $73.98 | 12d ago |
| Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by September 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 255.68 | $0.900 | $230.11 | 12d ago |
| Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.374 | $112.34 | 12d ago |
| Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 9, 2026?No | buy | 640 | $0.194 | $123.9 | 13d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 618.38 | $0.973 | $601.51 | 13d ago |