Analytics
Yes is at 22.5%, down 3 points from 25.5% when the market opened on 12 Sep 2026.
Across the 44 daily closes on record from 12 Sep 2026 to 28 Oct 2026 (3 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 33% on 15 Oct 2026 and the lowest 17% on 19 Sep 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 28.5%; a month before, 22%. Its largest one-day move was 9 points up, to 31.5% on 2 Oct 2026.
It is one of 2 markets under “Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by...?”.
$288.68 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $17.79K since listing. The order book holds $15.87K, with a 5.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 229 trades, $1.22K bought Yes and $6.48K bought No; the largest was a $2.07K buy of No at 79.8¢.
The largest Yes position is gods-eye with 3.6K shares; the largest No position is FTX2.0 with 2.7K. Ten wallets hold 83.3% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 65 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 6:44 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 44 points, 12 Sep 2026 – 28 Oct 2026, chart shows 10%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 12 Sep 2026 | 25.5% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 22.5% |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Houthi military forces enter any part of the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". "Houthi military forces" refers to the military forces of the Houthi movement (Ansar Allah), including any armed force operating under its direction or on its behalf. "Enter" means that the Houthi military forces, even temporarily, deliberately operate within any part of Saudi Arabia, other than as prisoners of war or as emissaries as described below. Bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of activity will not qualify on their own. An announcement, threat, or claim of Houthi entry will not qualify without actual entry being established. The entrance of Houthi emissaries for the purpose of negotiating an agreement or other diplomatic or commercial endeavors will not alone qualify. In the event of genuine ambiguity, this market may remain open for three days after the specified date. If Houthi entry into Saudi Arabia is not established by the end of the third calendar day, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/houthis-enter-saudi-arabia-byptptpt
| Inchoroi |
| No |
| 853.29 |
| Violet Vector B233 | Yes | 824.23 |
| PavtheGreat | No | 770 |
| RememberAmalek | Yes | 693.34 |
| cashy | Yes | 520.34 |
| PedroD2000 | No | 500 |
| Huludubu | No | 493 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
