Analytics
The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
A complete provider position result is unavailable. Missing positions and amounts are not shown as zero holdings.
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Iran Nuke before 2027? | No | 24.81K | $0.929 | $23.58K | +$536.59 |
 Trump out as President before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 220.62 | $0.993 | $219.08 | 1h ago |
 |
| No |
| 21K |
| $0.848 |
| $19.84K |
| +$2.03K |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 15.9K | $0.993 | $15.8K | +$10.02 |
 Will Russia invade another country in 2026? | No | 11.29K | $0.888 | $10.56K | +$529.41 |
 Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? | No | 10.53K | $0.882 | $9.32K | +$30.69 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026? | No | 8.04K | $0.973 | $7.85K | +$25.03 |
 US charges Hormuz fees by December 31, 2026? | No | 4K | $0.910 | $3.86K | +$220 |
 Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by December 31, 2026? | No | 3.04K | $0.812 | $2.66K | +$190.6 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | No | 3K | $0.840 | $2.54K | +$15 |
 Will USD be less than 2.0M Iranian rials on December 31? | No | 1.12K | $0.750 | $940.96 | +$100.82 |
 Will Iran target Saudi Arabia by September 15, 2026? | No | 771.91 | $0.829 | $687 | +$47.16 |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | No | 673.25 | $0.954 | $655.41 | +$13.22 |
 Will Esmail Qaani attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | No | 444.96 | $0.933 | $417.15 | +$2 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 759.67 | $0.640 | $353.25 | -$132.94 |
 Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026? | No | 363.49 | $0.950 | $347.13 | +$1.82 |
 Iran coup attempt by December 31? | No | 300 | $0.830 | $259.5 | +$10.5 |
 Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 1.82K | $0.100 | $180.91 | -$1.73 |
 Iran leadership change by December 31? | Yes | 787.14 | $0.604 | $106.26 | -$368.95 |
 Will US crude oil reserves fall to 270M by September 25, 2026? | No | 116.25 | $0.530 | $86.03 | +$24.41 |
 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | No | 1.01K | $0.650 | $70.05 | -$585.46 |
 Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 852.94 | $0.163 | $38.38 | -$100.62 |
 Israel closes its airspace by September 30? | No | 800 | $0.281 | $24.4 | -$200.6 |
 Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 4.2K | $0.005 | $23.1 | +$2.1 |
 Will Hassan Rouhani be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | 2.39K | $0.019 | $17.96 | -$27.93 |
 Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair and will rates hit 2.5% or lower in 2026? | Yes | 71.4 | $0.300 | $1.71 | -$19.71 |
| buy |
| 2.5K |
| $0.977 |
| $2.44K |
| 4h ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?No | buy | 2.23K | $0.975 | $2.18K | 20h ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?No | buy | 3.28K | $0.969 | $3.18K | 1d ago |
 Will Real Madrid CF vs. FC Internazionale Milano end in a draw?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.210 | $21 | 1d ago |
| Will Real Madrid CF vs. FC Internazionale Milano end in a draw?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.220 | $44 | 1d ago |
| Will US crude oil reserves fall to 270M by September 25, 2026?No | buy | 116.25 | $0.530 | $61.61 | 1d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?No | buy | 22.49 | $0.955 | $21.47 | 1d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?No | buy | 300 | $0.280 | $84 | 3d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?No | buy | 300 | $0.290 | $87 | 3d ago |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 673.25 | $0.954 | $642.19 | 5d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 10K | $0.993 | $9.93K | 5d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 479.6 | $0.990 | $474.8 | 5d ago |
| Will USD be less than 2.0M Iranian rials on December 31?No | buy | 1.12K | $0.750 | $840.14 | 5d ago |
| Will Esmail Qaani attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 444.96 | $0.933 | $415.15 | 6d ago |
| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?No | buy | 2.2K | $0.890 | $1.96K | 8d ago |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?No | buy | 3K | $0.994 | $2.98K | 8d ago |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?No | buy | 1.55K | $0.993 | $1.54K | 8d ago |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?No | buy | 1.13K | $0.992 | $1.12K | 8d ago |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei leave Iran by August 31?No | sell | 639.75 | $0.997 | $637.84 | 8d ago |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?No | buy | 594 | $0.958 | $569.05 | 15d ago |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?No | buy | 14.39K | $0.958 | $13.78K | 15d ago |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?No | buy | 1.08K | $0.956 | $1.03K | 15d ago |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?No | buy | 198.9 | $0.954 | $189.75 | 15d ago |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?No | buy | 31 | $0.940 | $29.14 | 19d ago |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?No | buy | 2.03K | $0.890 | $1.8K | 20d ago |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?No | buy | 14.11K | $0.870 | $12.28K | 22d ago |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?No | buy | 199.03 | $0.860 | $171.17 | 22d ago |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?No | buy | 4.91 | $0.860 | $4.22 | 22d ago |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?No | buy | 2.86K | $0.870 | $2.48K | 22d ago |
 US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?No | buy | 467.67 | $0.860 | $402.4 | 23d ago |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?No | buy | 1.35K | $0.910 | $1.23K | 23d ago |
 Iran invades Kuwait by August 31?No | buy | 4.31K | $0.995 | $4.29K | 24d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?No | buy | 1.86K | $0.993 | $1.85K | 25d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?No | buy | 10K | $0.993 | $9.93K | 25d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?No | buy | 5.39K | $0.992 | $5.34K | 25d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?No | buy | 4K | $0.992 | $3.97K | 25d ago |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?No | buy | 687.89 | $0.900 | $619.1 | 26d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 11, 2026?No | buy | 952.86 | $0.992 | $945.24 | 29d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by August 15?No | buy | 120 | $0.976 | $117.1 | 29d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by August 15?No | buy | 5K | $0.971 | $4.86K | 29d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by August 15?No | buy | 3.39K | $0.970 | $3.28K | Aug 10, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 759.67 | $0.640 | $486.19 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 4.2K | $0.005 | $21 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| Iran Nuke before 2027?No | buy | 1.29K | $0.950 | $1.23K | Aug 10, 2026 |
| Iran invades Kuwait by August 31?No | buy | 31.24K | $0.985 | $30.78K | Aug 10, 2026 |
| Iran Nuke before 2027?No | buy | 479.96 | $0.941 | $451.64 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| US charges Hormuz fees by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 159.01 | $0.982 | $156.15 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?No | sell | 15 | $0.370 | $5.55 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?No | sell | 23.4 | $0.334 | $7.82 | Aug 4, 2026 |