Analytics
TronOG has made $59.14K on Polymarket, #3,136 on Polymarket's all-time profit board.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-26 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Iran Nuke before 2027? | No | 28.71K | $0.932 | $27.66K | +$915.67 |
 Trump out as President before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
This view does not establish the wallet’s complete trading history.
Accepted Polymarket leaderboard snapshot
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-26 13:00 UTC
Polymarket public position response
50 open positions returned; page coverage partial
2026-10-26 15:51 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
Recent fills unavailable
2026-10-26 15:51 UTC
polymarket positions
51 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-24 06:03 UTC
Rank, profit and volume come from Polymarket's leaderboard; positions, the chart and trades are read live. Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $49.87K and losing ones cost $3.96K across the latest 50 settled positions. 90% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $6.4K on “Netanyahu out by March 31?” (No); the largest loss, $1.8K on “Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30?” (No).
It has traded 471 markets. Its open positions are worth $154.63K across 53 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| No |
| 26K |
| $0.864 |
| $24.87K |
| +$2.41K |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24? | Yes | 22.01K | $0.985 | $21.91K | +$235.25 |
 Will Russia invade another country in 2026? | No | 11.47K | $0.909 | $10.84K | +$407.04 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by October 31? | No | 9.81K | $0.941 | $9.65K | +$429.75 |
 US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24? | Yes | 8.55K | $0.992 | $8.5K | +$21.37 |
 Will USD be less than 2.0M Iranian rials on December 31? | No | 8.92K | $0.866 | $8.43K | +$707.42 |
 Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? | No | 5.57K | $0.880 | $4.79K | -$110.67 |
 Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? | No | 6.4K | $0.744 | $4.64K | -$121.99 |
 US charges Hormuz fees by December 31, 2026? | No | 3.38K | $0.910 | $3.26K | +$189.23 |
 Will there be no Hormuz agreement? | Yes | 3.2K | $0.918 | $2.98K | +$39.41 |
 Will Ahmad Vahidi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | No | 3K | $0.946 | $2.87K | +$31.37 |
 Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by December 31, 2026? | No | 3.27K | $0.815 | $2.86K | +$195.96 |
 Will Esmail Qaani attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | No | 2.81K | $0.942 | $2.73K | +$81.25 |
 Iran invades Kuwait by December 31? | No | 2.67K | $0.910 | $2.58K | +$145.66 |
 Will Elon Musk attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | No | 2.14K | $0.986 | $2.1K | -$10.77 |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | No | 1.94K | $0.979 | $1.9K | -$2.2 |
 Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? | No | 1.73K | $0.870 | $1.57K | +$69.18 |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 30? | No | 1.63K | $0.850 | $1.28K | -$106.04 |
 Will the Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by October 31? | No | 1.12K | $0.879 | $1.05K | +$62.04 |
| Will the Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by December 31? | No | 1.33K | $0.809 | $1K | -$72.05 |
 Will a European country take military action on Iran by October 31? | No | 944.25 | $0.955 | $921.11 | +$19.36 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31? | No | 800 | $0.850 | $724 | +$44 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | No | 755.38 | $0.810 | $713.84 | +$101.98 |
| Will there be a Hormuz agreement by October 23, oil below $80, and the Republicans win the Senate? | No | 600 | $0.973 | $599.7 | +$15.76 |
4 of 6 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.
