Analytics
Yes is at 8%, down 20 points from 28.5% when the market opened on 4 Sep 2026.
The high was 28.5% on 4 Sep 2026 and the low 7% on 4 Oct 2026. A week ago Yes was at 9%; a month ago, 16.5%. Its largest one-day move was 9 points down, to 19.5% on 5 Sep 2026.
<2.0M ranks fifth of the 6 outcomes in “USD x Iranian rials End of December?”. 2.5 - 3.0M leads at 34%; 3.0 - 3.5M is at 23.5%.
$131.48 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $28K since listing. The order book holds $4.92K, with a 2.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 443 trades, $230.71 bought Yes and $18.38K bought No; the largest was a $6.2K buy of No at 88.0¢.
The largest Yes position is Hakei. with 12.8K shares; the largest No position is TronOG with 10K. Ten wallets hold 93.9% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 31 Dec 2026, 73 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 20, 12:42 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 48 points, 4 Sep 2026 – 20 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 4 Sep 2026 | 28.5% |
| 20 Oct 2026 | 8.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Hakei. | Yes | 12.81K |
| TronOG | No | 10.01K |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 6.18K |
This market will resolve according to the finalized USD exchange rate on Bonbast for December 31, 2026. If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. This market will resolve according to the finalized free-market USD exchange rate for the specified date as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR). A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released. Resolution will occur once the specified exchange rate data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered. If Iran redenominates the rial, or Bonbast changes the unit in which it displays the USD exchange rate, before the relevant figure has been finalized, the displayed figure will be converted into current Iranian rials at the official conversion ratio between the new unit and the current rial (for example, 1 new rial equals 10,000 current rials), and the converted figure will be used for resolution. The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/usd-x-iranian-rials-end-of-december
| nennou |
| Yes |
| 2.61K |
| Friday | Yes | 1K |
| AMo | No | 895.43 |
| groth | Yes | 657.52 |
| Hellboy-winner | No | 401.63 |
| Mfiroozi | No | 392.18 |
| aliiz | No | 373.23 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
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