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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? | No | 14.19K | $0.787 | $13.58K | +$2.41K |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will there be 30 or more average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on September 30?Yes | buy | 145.11 | $0.018 | $2.55 | 7h ago |
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| No |
| 7.82K |
| $0.735 |
| $7.81K |
| +$2.06K |
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? | No | 7.41K | $0.795 | $7.3K | +$1.42K |
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? | No | 7.64K | $0.724 | $6.76K | +$1.23K |
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? | No | 5.72K | $0.855 | $5.4K | +$513.63 |
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | Yes | 8.9K | $0.340 | $4.67K | +$1.65K |
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 5K | $0.410 | $4.28K | +$2.23K |
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026? | No | 4.5K | $0.867 | $4.21K | +$307.51 |
Fed rate hike in 2026? | Yes | 2.74K | $0.603 | $1.93K | +$279.68 |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 5.48K | $0.545 | $1.84K | -$1.15K |
Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026? | Yes | 3.14K | $0.156 | $1.71K | +$1.22K |
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? | No | 1.81K | $0.364 | $1.57K | +$906.33 |
Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31 | Yes | 8.3K | $0.161 | $1.49K | +$155.12 |
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting? | Yes | 1.92K | $0.534 | $1.24K | +$212.43 |
Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026? | No | 1K | $0.770 | $992 | +$222 |
Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30? | No | 1.02K | $0.785 | $954.84 | +$157.45 |
Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31? | No | 1K | $0.310 | $720.01 | +$410.01 |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 1.17K | $0.814 | $675.47 | -$279.1 |
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by December 31, 2026? | No | 753.28 | $0.770 | $659.12 | +$79.09 |
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31? | No | 1.11K | $0.511 | $555.13 | -$12 |
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 2K | $0.300 | $550 | -$50 |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 3.5K | $0.483 | $507.49 | -$1.18K |
Will Farsi, Hengam, Hormuz or Kharg Island no longer be under Iranian control by September 30, 2026? | No | 500 | $0.900 | $493.75 | +$43.75 |
Israel closes its airspace by September 30? | Yes | 500.48 | $0.538 | $476.45 | +$207.26 |
Will GameStop acquire eBay? | No | 500 | $0.780 | $462.5 | +$72.5 |
| buy |
| 30 |
| $0.590 |
| $17.7 |
| 1d ago |
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 1.14K | $0.480 | $548.72 | 4d ago |
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?Yes | sell | 561.16 | $0.190 | $106.62 | 4d ago |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 7.15K | $0.001 | $7.15 | 8d ago |
Will Iran target the United Arab Emirates by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 80 | $0.195 | $15.56 | 8d ago |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Yes | sell | 40K | $0.003 | $120 | 12d ago |
Will gas hit $4.50 (High) by August 31?No | buy | 40 | $0.969 | $38.76 | 12d ago |
Will gas hit $4.25 (High) by August 31?No | buy | 200 | $0.940 | $188 | 12d ago |
Will Ahsanul Hafiz win the 2026 Scarborough Southwest provincial by-election?No | buy | 261.05 | $0.510 | $133.14 | 12d ago |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?Yes | sell | 202.17 | $0.290 | $58.63 | 14d ago |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 290.89 | $0.028 | $8.14 | 16d ago |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?Yes | sell | 921.53 | $0.130 | $119.8 | 16d ago |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.15K | $0.039 | $83.79 | 16d ago |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.060 | $60 | 18d ago |
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?No | buy | 45 | $0.340 | $15.3 | 18d ago |
Will Mark Bekkering win the 2026 Scarborough Southwest provincial by-election?No | buy | 83 | $0.900 | $74.7 | 19d ago |
US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by August 31?Yes | buy | 180.26 | $0.050 | $9.01 | 20d ago |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 134.72 | $0.530 | $71.4 | 20d ago |
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?No | buy | 5 | $0.480 | $2.4 | 21d ago |
US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by August 31?Yes | sell | 165 | $0.110 | $18.15 | 21d ago |
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?No | buy | 278.83 | $0.110 | $30.67 | 21d ago |
US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by August 31?Yes | sell | 2.01K | $0.100 | $200.62 | 22d ago |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 7.5 | $0.774 | $5.81 | 22d ago |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 22, 2026?Yes | sell | 2.99K | $0.050 | $149.67 | 22d ago |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 4.15K | $0.140 | $580.86 | 22d ago |
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 15?No | buy | 20 | $0.967 | $19.34 | 24d ago |
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 1.93K | $0.480 | $928.79 | 24d ago |
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 1.6K | $0.490 | $785.26 | 24d ago |
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?No | sell | 335.52 | $0.810 | $271.77 | 24d ago |
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?No | sell | 1.52K | $0.976 | $1.49K | 24d ago |
Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31Yes | buy | 967.4 | $0.090 | $87.07 | 24d ago |
USMCA extended in 2026?No | buy | 8.91 | $0.780 | $6.95 | 25d ago |
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?No | buy | 1K | $0.750 | $750 | 25d ago |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 23.33 | $0.530 | $12.36 | 26d ago |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 13, 2026?Yes | sell | 2.54K | $0.002 | $5.09 | 26d ago |
US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by August 31?Yes | buy | 8.2K | $0.210 | $1.72K | 27d ago |
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Yes | sell | 305.86 | $0.660 | $201.87 | 27d ago |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 22, 2026?Yes | sell | 2.91K | $0.230 | $669.01 | 27d ago |
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 31?Yes | buy | 2.07K | $0.070 | $144.93 | 27d ago |
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?No | buy | 253.94 | $0.620 | $157.44 | 27d ago |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?Yes | sell | 19.88K | $0.003 | $59.64 | 28d ago |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 14, 2026?Yes | sell | 118.74 | $0.100 | $11.87 | 28d ago |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | buy | 75.04 | $0.520 | $39.02 | 28d ago |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 788.11 | $0.160 | $126.1 | 28d ago |
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?No | sell | 118.46 | $0.790 | $93.58 | 28d ago |
Iran full airspace closure by August 15?Yes | buy | 6.84K | $0.014 | $98 | 29d ago |
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?No | sell | 704.25 | $0.920 | $647.91 | Aug 9, 2026 |
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?Yes | sell | 2.03K | $0.850 | $1.73K | Aug 9, 2026 |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 9, 2026?Yes | buy | 752.59 | $0.017 | $12.79 | Aug 9, 2026 |