Analytics
Yes is at 22%, up 9 points from 13% when the market opened on 4 Sep 2026.
Across the 47 daily closes on record from 4 Sep 2026 to 28 Oct 2026 (8 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 36.5% on 9 Sep 2026 and the lowest 11% on 21 Sep 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 23.5%; a month before, 20.5%. Its largest one-day move was 19 points up, to 36.5% on 9 Sep 2026.
3.0 - 3.5M ranks second of the 6 outcomes in “USD x Iranian rials End of December?”. 2.5 - 3.0M leads at 34%; 3.5 - 4.0M is at 15.8%.
$20 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $27.67K since listing. The order book holds $9.82K, with a 2.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 500 trades, $2.23K bought Yes and $5.12K bought No.
The largest Yes position is Hossein-m with 6.8K shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 6.4K. Ten wallets hold 94.5% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 31 Dec 2026, 65 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 11:50 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 47 points, 4 Sep 2026 – 28 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–50%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 4 Sep 2026 | 13.0% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 22.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Hossein-m | Yes | 6.77K |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 6.36K |
| Hakei. | No | 3.75K |
This market will resolve according to the finalized USD exchange rate on Bonbast for December 31, 2026. If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. This market will resolve according to the finalized free-market USD exchange rate for the specified date as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR). A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released. Resolution will occur once the specified exchange rate data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered. If Iran redenominates the rial, or Bonbast changes the unit in which it displays the USD exchange rate, before the relevant figure has been finalized, the displayed figure will be converted into current Iranian rials at the official conversion ratio between the new unit and the current rial (for example, 1 new rial equals 10,000 current rials), and the converted figure will be used for resolution. The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/usd-x-iranian-rials-end-of-december
| AMo |
| Yes |
| 846.5 |
| crypto-basenji | Yes | 570.36 |
| pykue | No | 484 |
| Dima79 | Yes | 469.83 |
| Hellboy-winner | Yes | 400 |
| Emerald Kestrel 3D3E | Yes | 277.33 |
| Dimpled-Hurt | Yes | 275 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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