Analytics
The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 40K | $0.840 | $34.2K | +$600.04 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30?No | buy | 2.5K | $0.949 | $2.37K | 20h ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 83.62K |
| $0.787 |
| $16.31K |
| -$49.51K |
 Iran full airspace closure by September 30? | No | 16.32K | $0.896 | $14.69K | +$65.91 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026? | No | 15K | $0.921 | $14.64K | +$828.06 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? | No | 15K | $0.900 | $14.03K | +$525 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | No | 15.6K | $0.799 | $13.26K | +$800.05 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? | Yes | 15K | $0.824 | $12.75K | +$397.09 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | No | 11.01K | $0.786 | $10.19K | +$1.53K |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 15? | No | 8.13K | $0.904 | $8.08K | +$727.59 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026? | No | 5K | $0.920 | $4.53K | -$75 |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 4.1K | $0.715 | $3.78K | +$847.12 |
 Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14? | No | 4.15K | $0.888 | $3.66K | -$32.43 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | No | 5K | $0.710 | $3.6K | +$50 |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30? | No | 4.89K | $0.806 | $3.54K | -$396.42 |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30? | No | 3.42K | $0.931 | $3.28K | +$98.35 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? | No | 3.5K | $0.853 | $3.17K | +$182.5 |
 Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by September 30? | No | 3K | $0.960 | $2.9K | +$18 |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 21? | No | 3.55K | $0.882 | $2.77K | -$361.05 |
 US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by September 30? | No | 2.82K | $0.930 | $2.6K | -$29.65 |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31? | No | 4.34K | $0.652 | $2.28K | -$550.84 |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11? | No | 4.9K | $0.427 | $2.06K | -$35.89 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | No | 2.5K | $0.730 | $1.94K | +$112.5 |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 30? | No | 1.87K | $0.860 | $1.82K | +$215.21 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | Yes | 2.34K | $0.727 | $1.74K | +$41.77 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? | No | 2.05K | $0.800 | $1.69K | +$51.26 |
| buy |
| 1.08K |
| $0.940 |
| $1.02K |
| 20h ago |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?No | buy | 1.7K | $0.575 | $978.23 | 20h ago |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?No | buy | 2K | $0.777 | $1.55K | 20h ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?Yes | buy | 1.5K | $0.860 | $1.29K | 20h ago |
| Iran full airspace closure by September 30?No | buy | 3.1K | $0.870 | $2.7K | 20h ago |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?Yes | sell | 77.31 | $0.270 | $20.87 | 2d ago |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?Yes | sell | 742 | $0.120 | $89.04 | 2d ago |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?No | buy | 450 | $0.648 | $291.44 | 2d ago |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 21?No | buy | 800 | $0.810 | $648 | 2d ago |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14?No | buy | 3.5K | $0.876 | $3.07K | 2d ago |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 7?No | buy | 507 | $0.984 | $498.86 | 2d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Yes | buy | 129.32 | $0.710 | $91.82 | 2d ago |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?No | buy | 1.2K | $0.838 | $1.01K | 3d ago |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 21?No | buy | 1.4K | $0.908 | $1.27K | 3d ago |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14?No | buy | 322 | $0.960 | $309.02 | 3d ago |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 7?No | buy | 1.58K | $0.993 | $1.57K | 3d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 1K | $0.860 | $860 | 3d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 252.98 | $0.850 | $215.03 | 3d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 18?No | buy | 97.41 | $0.330 | $32.15 | 3d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?No | buy | 1.88K | $0.423 | $793.16 | 3d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.300 | $3 | 3d ago |
 Israel closes its airspace by September 30?No | sell | 43.2 | $0.370 | $15.98 | 3d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 2.9K | $0.294 | $852.57 | 4d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?Yes | buy | 1.4K | $0.443 | $620.12 | 4d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 580 | $0.270 | $156.6 | 4d ago |
| US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by September 30?No | buy | 324 | $0.937 | $303.52 | 4d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?No | sell | 2.74K | $0.992 | $2.72K | 4d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?No | sell | 4.92K | $0.325 | $1.6K | 4d ago |
 Counter-Strike: Esport Academy Copenhagen vs WRAITH PCIFIC (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #8 Group StageEsport Academy Copenhagen | buy | 300 | $0.730 | $219 | 4d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 30?Yes | sell | 362.87 | $0.760 | $275.78 | 4d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 18?No | buy | 46 | $0.310 | $14.26 | 4d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?No | sell | 900 | $0.560 | $504 | 4d ago |
| Iran full airspace closure by September 30?No | buy | 286 | $0.900 | $257.4 | 4d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?No | sell | 7.86K | $0.576 | $4.53K | 4d ago |
| Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 1 WinnerG2 | buy | 1K | $0.500 | $500 | 5d ago |
| Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 4: Closed Qualifier PlayoffsEternal Fire | buy | 2K | $0.530 | $1.06K | 5d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?Yes | sell | 7.5K | $0.860 | $6.45K | 5d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 4.6K | $0.398 | $1.83K | 5d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 30?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.700 | $210 | 5d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?No | buy | 15.12K | $0.908 | $13.73K | 5d ago |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by September 30?No | buy | 733.49 | $0.960 | $704.15 | 5d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?Yes | buy | 6.83 | $0.450 | $3.07 | 5d ago |
 US announces withdrawal from Al Udeid Air Base by Sep 30?No | buy | 100 | $0.959 | $95.9 | 5d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes | sell | 1.19K | $0.280 | $332.09 | 6d ago |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?Yes | sell | 867.19 | $0.313 | $271.72 | 6d ago |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?No | buy | 2K | $0.720 | $1.44K | 6d ago |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?No | buy | 1.2K | $0.829 | $994.37 | 6d ago |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 21?No | buy | 1.35K | $0.897 | $1.21K | 6d ago |
| US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by September 30?No | buy | 2.5K | $0.930 | $2.32K | 6d ago |