Analytics
Yes is at 43%, down 8.5 points from 51.5% when the market opened on 1 Jan 2026.
Across the 275 daily closes on record from 1 Jan 2026 to 29 Oct 2026 (27 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 61.5% on 2 Jan 2026 and the lowest 8.5% on 19 Mar 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 41%; a month before, 16%. Its largest one-day move was 38 points up, to 55.5% on 12 Oct 2026.
It is one of 2 markets under “What floor price will Pudgy Penguins hit before 2027?”.
$2.81K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $175.54, with a 62.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 140 trades, $436.04 bought Yes and $394.97 bought No.
The largest Yes position is XieGuangKun with 311 shares; the largest No position is Awestin.eth with 568. Ten wallets hold 94.1% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 65 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 29, 2:18 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 275 points, 1 Jan 2026 – 29 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 1 Jan 2026 | 51.5% |
| 29 Oct 2026 | 43.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Awestin.eth | No | 568.21 |
| XieGuangKun | Yes | 311.41 |
| imurvariance | No | 272.17 |
This market will immediately resolve to “Yes” if the Pudgy Penguins floor price dips to 2 ETH or lower at any point between December 31, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market will be CoinGecko, specifically the "PudgyPenguins price chart" available at https://www.coingecko.com/en/nft/pudgy-penguins. The price will be determined based on the value shown when hovering over the chart Only data from CoinGecko will be used to resolve this market. Prices from other data providers or NFT marketplaces will not be considered.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-floor-price-will-pudgy-penguins-hit-before-2027
| DegenApe99 |
| Yes |
| 238.23 |
| Huludubu | No | 117.6 |
| hexing520 | Yes | 109.26 |
| NUKEIT | Yes | 100 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 61.2 |
| SpiRaX | Yes | 50 |
| Delicious-Paperwork-Router | Yes | 24.44 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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