Analytics
Yes is at 21.5%, down 44 points from 65% when the market opened on 13 Oct 2026.
Across the 10 daily closes on record from 13 Oct 2026 to 23 Oct 2026 (2 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 66% on 14 Oct 2026 and the lowest 21.5% on 23 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 61.5%. Its largest one-day move was 12 points down, to 53% on 20 Oct 2026.
$234.97 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $4.12K since listing. The order book holds $510.33, with a 7.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 95 trades, $858.52 bought Yes and $931.18 bought No.
The largest Yes position is VFALL with 515 shares; the largest No position is Arman2 with 752. Ten wallets hold 82.8% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Nov 2026, 9 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 23, 3:52 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 10 points, 13 Oct 2026 – 23 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 13 Oct 2026 | 65.0% |
| 23 Oct 2026 | 21.5% |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if at least 50 flights depart from Riyadh's King Khalid International Airport (RUH) within a single calendar day in Riyadh local time (Arabia Standard Time, AST), between the date of market creation and the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Departures will be evaluated as displayed by FlightAware on its King Khalid Int'l Airport (Riyadh) RUH airport page (https://www.flightaware.com/live/airport/OERK) and the corresponding departures page (https://www.flightaware.com/live/airport/OERK/departures). Only confirmed departures, displayed with an actual departure time, qualify; scheduled departures do not qualify. Only departures occurring after market creation will count. All departures displayed by FlightAware count toward the threshold, regardless of airline, destination, or flight type. Obviously erroneous departures will not count toward the threshold, whether or not FlightAware corrects them. A departure is obviously erroneous if FlightAware's own flight data (e.g., its flight map, track, or track log) shows that the aircraft did not take off from RUH, such as a flight shown departing RUH based on its scheduled routing while its track originates at a different airport. Multiple listings of the same physical departure (e.g., codeshare flight numbers) will count as a single departure. A discrepancy between FlightAware and alternative sources will not, on its own, make a departure erroneous. If the resolution of this market depends on whether one or more departures are erroneous, this market may remain open until the end of the third calendar day (AST) after the date of the relevant departures to allow FlightAware to correct its data. If FlightAware has not corrected its data by then, this market will resolve based on the data FlightAware displays at that time, excluding any obviously erroneous departures as described above. Announcements, NOTAMs, airline schedules, or reports that the airport has reopened will not qualify on their own if FlightAware does not display at least 50 departures within a single calendar day (AST). The resolution source for this market will be information from FlightAware (https://www.flightaware.com/live/airport/OERK).
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/riyadh-airport-reopens-byptptpt
| Bernardo |
| Yes |
| 200 |
| TronOG | Yes | 200 |
| AJSV | Yes | 174.86 |
| PavtheGreat | No | 159.17 |
| Huludubu | Yes | 147 |
| Glistening-Naming | No | 104.33 |
| Mrpike | No | 75.82 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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