Analytics
Arman2 is down $355.75 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-23 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 NATO x Russia military clash by November 15, 2026? | No | 7.04K | $0.749 | $6.59K | +$1.31K |
 |
| Category | Realized PnL | Volume | Trades | Markets | Win rate | Position value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| politics | +$234.84 | $1.13K | 11 | 1 | 100.0% | $63.11 |
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Houthis capture Taiz city by November 30? | buy | 10 | $0.250 | $2.5 | 36m ago |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-23 16:14 UTC
Polymarket public position response
15 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-25 20:12 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
Recent fills unavailable
2026-10-25 20:12 UTC
polymarket positions
51 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-23 16:14 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $54.24K and losing ones cost $51.48K across the latest 50 settled positions. 54% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $6.88K on “Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 15?” (Yes); the largest loss, $8.45K on “US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?” (Yes).
It has traded 741 markets. Most of the volume is in politics ($1.13K). Its open positions are worth $13.26K across 15 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| Yes |
| 2.58K |
| $0.902 |
| $2.56K |
| +$231.87 |
 Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31? | Yes | 3.07K | $0.235 | $1.21K | +$491.76 |
 Will Republican House incumbents not win in between four and six nominating elections in the 2026 cycle? | Yes | 915.29 | $0.967 | $845.73 | -$38.98 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 6.22K | $0.145 | $404.17 | -$497.83 |
 Paris curfew effectively lifted by October 31? | Yes | 635.49 | $0.537 | $365.41 | +$24.4 |
 Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31? | Yes | 6.48K | $0.170 | $356.46 | -$744.65 |
 Will UKMTO publish fewer than 8 notices between October 19-October 25? | Yes | 364.53 | $0.701 | $349.04 | +$93.56 |
 Will Riyadh airport reopen (50+ departures) by October 31? | No | 751.53 | $0.613 | $338.19 | -$122.13 |
 Pakistan military action against Yemen by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 4.59K | $0.242 | $139.88 | -$972.45 |
 Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by October 31? | Yes | 2.24K | $0.046 | $61.53 | -$40.91 |
 Houthis capture Taiz city by October 31? | Yes | 579.64 | $0.039 | $18.55 | -$3.85 |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22? | No | 4.18K | $0.086 | $10.46 | -$348.04 |
| Houthis capture Taiz city by November 30? | Yes | 30 | $0.250 | $8.25 | +$0.75 |
| Will UKMTO publish 8-11 notices between October 19-October 25? | Yes | 100 | $0.230 | $3.75 | -$19.25 |
| buy |
| 383.95 |
| $0.031 |
| $12 |
| 36m ago |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22? | sell | 13K | $0.001 | $13 | 37m ago |
Placed on fixed scales: no Radar board ranking was cached on this server when the profile was read, so no archetype is claimed. Not drawn for this wallet: 1 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.
