Analytics
Arman2 is down $355.75 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-23 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 NATO x Russia military clash by November 15, 2026? | No | 7.04K | $0.749 | $6.59K | +$1.31K |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
This view does not establish the wallet’s complete trading history.
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-23 16:14 UTC
Polymarket public position response
16 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-25 23:44 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
Recent fills unavailable
2026-10-25 23:44 UTC
polymarket positions
51 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-23 16:14 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $54.24K and losing ones cost $51.48K across the latest 50 settled positions. 54% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $6.88K on “Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 15?” (Yes); the largest loss, $8.45K on “US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?” (Yes).
It has traded 742 markets. Its open positions are worth $13.24K across 16 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| Yes |
| 2.58K |
| $0.902 |
| $2.51K |
| +$182.9 |
 Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31? | Yes | 3.07K | $0.235 | $967.21 | +$246.12 |
 Will Republican House incumbents not win in between four and six nominating elections in the 2026 cycle? | Yes | 915.29 | $0.967 | $850.76 | -$33.95 |
 Paris curfew effectively lifted by October 31? | Yes | 635.49 | $0.537 | $502.04 | +$161.03 |
 Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31? | Yes | 6.48K | $0.170 | $356.46 | -$744.65 |
 Will UKMTO publish fewer than 8 notices between October 19-October 25? | Yes | 364.53 | $0.701 | $350.86 | +$95.38 |
 Will Riyadh airport reopen (50+ departures) by October 31? | No | 751.53 | $0.613 | $334.43 | -$125.89 |
 Will Brad Bradford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election? | Yes | 1.37K | $0.264 | $327.65 | -$33.35 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 2.49K | $0.145 | $211.41 | -$149.39 |
 Pakistan military action against Yemen by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 4.59K | $0.242 | $130.71 | -$981.62 |
 Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by October 31? | Yes | 2.24K | $0.046 | $67.13 | -$35.32 |
 Houthis capture Taiz city by October 31? | Yes | 579.64 | $0.039 | $18.55 | -$3.85 |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22? | No | 1.67K | $0.086 | $15.06 | -$128.34 |
| Houthis capture Taiz city by November 30? | Yes | 30 | $0.250 | $8.25 | +$0.75 |
| Will UKMTO publish 8-11 notices between October 19-October 25? | Yes | 100 | $0.230 | $2.3 | -$20.7 |
4 of 6 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.
