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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | No | 100 | $0.985 | $99.95 | +$1.45 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?No | buy | 100 | $0.980 | $98 | 5d ago |
|
| No |
| 100 |
| $0.965 |
| $99.25 |
| +$2.75 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30? | No | 100 | $0.970 | $98.75 | +$1.75 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | No | 100 | $0.980 | $98.25 | +$0.25 |
 Fed emergency rate cut before 2027? | No | 100 | $0.930 | $93.5 | +$0.5 |
 Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in September 2026? | No | 72 | $0.950 | $70.74 | +$2.34 |
 US expels a Brazilian diplomat by September 30? | No | 40 | $0.900 | $39.12 | +$3.12 |
 US x Cuba military clash in 2026? | No | 30 | $0.687 | $25.95 | +$5.35 |
 Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the September meeting? | Yes | 19.99 | $0.940 | $19.48 | +$0.69 |
| Will at least 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by September 30, 2026? | No | 20 | $0.920 | $19 | +$0.6 |
 Will Trump meet with Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in September 2026? | Yes | 20 | $0.400 | $14 | +$6 |
 Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in September 2026? | No | 11 | $0.920 | $10.95 | +$0.83 |
 Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | No | 10 | $0.880 | $9.35 | +$0.55 |
 Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? | No | 10 | $0.450 | $8.55 | +$4.05 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 10 | $0.670 | $4.45 | -$2.25 |
 Discord IPO before 2027? | No | 5 | $0.740 | $4.29 | +$0.59 |
| Will at least 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31, 2026? | No | 1.17 | $0.975 | $1.17 | +$0.03 |
 Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 100 | $0.003 | $0.15 | -$0.15 |
| Will Trump speak to Vladimir Putin in September? | No | 30 | $0.343 | $0.11 | -$10.19 |
 Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 100 | $0.030 | $0.05 | -$2.95 |
 Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 100 | $0.043 | $0.05 | -$4.25 |
| buy |
| 20 |
| $0.920 |
| $18.4 |
| 5d ago |
 Will Trump meet with Giorgia Meloni in August 2026?No | buy | 40 | $0.987 | $39.48 | 12d ago |
| Will Trump speak to Vladimir Putin in September?No | buy | 10 | $0.350 | $3.5 | 13d ago |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?No | buy | 500 | $0.002 | $1 | 27d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?No | buy | 500 | $0.002 | $1 | 27d ago |
 Will Marcos Pontes be the VP candidate of Flavio Bolsonaro?No | buy | 130 | $0.991 | $128.83 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will Marcos Pontes be the VP candidate of Flavio Bolsonaro?No | buy | 20 | $0.991 | $19.82 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 Will Rogério Marinho be the VP candidate of Flavio Bolsonaro?No | buy | 50 | $0.990 | $49.5 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the August meeting?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.014 | $0.42 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 3.41 | $0.990 | $3.38 | Jul 27, 2026 |
 Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by June 30?No | buy | 104.04 | $0.890 | $92.6 | Jun 29, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | sell | 50 | $0.960 | $48.02 | Jun 25, 2026 |
 President Trump to Attend USA Opening Match?No | buy | 110 | $0.950 | $104.5 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 Will Jeremie Frimpong score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 40 | $0.980 | $39.2 | May 31, 2026 |
| Will Luis Suárez score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 100 | $0.900 | $90 | May 31, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.800 | $8 | Apr 21, 2026 |
 Over $800M crypto hack value in 2026?Yes | buy | 9.48 | $0.950 | $9.01 | Apr 21, 2026 |
| Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after April 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 38.08 | $0.850 | $32.37 | Mar 19, 2026 |
 Will another country strike Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.250 | $2.5 | Mar 15, 2026 |
| Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.030 | $3 | Mar 11, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.988 | $98.8 | Mar 10, 2026 |
| Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after April 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 7.86 | $0.760 | $5.97 | Mar 9, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 210 | $0.982 | $206.22 | Mar 9, 2026 |
| Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after April 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.880 | $44 | Mar 7, 2026 |
 Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?No | sell | 20 | $0.290 | $5.8 | Mar 7, 2026 |
 Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?No | sell | 20 | $0.780 | $15.6 | Mar 7, 2026 |
 Will Sarah Knafo win the Paris mayor election?No | sell | 10 | $0.989 | $9.89 | Mar 7, 2026 |
| Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?No | sell | 10 | $0.510 | $5.1 | Mar 7, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | sell | 10 | $0.490 | $4.9 | Mar 5, 2026 |
| Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by March 31?No | sell | 120 | $0.450 | $53.96 | Mar 4, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?No | sell | 100 | $0.998 | $99.8 | Mar 4, 2026 |
 US x Denmark Military clash before 2027?No | sell | 10 | $0.940 | $9.4 | Mar 4, 2026 |
 US strikes Iraq by February 28?No | buy | 80 | $0.992 | $79.32 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| US strikes Iraq by February 28?No | buy | 20 | $0.991 | $19.82 | Feb 27, 2026 |
 Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.940 | $9.4 | Feb 27, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No | buy | 100 | $0.992 | $99.2 | Feb 27, 2026 |
 Will Trump meet with Mohammed bin Salman in February 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.990 | $4.95 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| Will Trump meet with Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in February 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.989 | $4.95 | Feb 27, 2026 |
 Will Trump meet with Maria Corina Machado in February 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.989 | $9.89 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.940 | $94 | Feb 27, 2026 |
 Will Tucker Carlson interview Trump by February 28?No | buy | 10 | $0.989 | $9.89 | Feb 27, 2026 |
 Trump drops Powell investigation by February 28?No | buy | 10 | $0.989 | $9.89 | Feb 27, 2026 |
 Will Israel strike Iraq by February 28?No | buy | 10 | $0.991 | $9.91 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| US x Cuba military clash in 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.820 | $8.2 | Feb 26, 2026 |
| Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.043 | $4.3 | Feb 25, 2026 |
 US forces enter Iran by February 28?No | buy | 10 | $0.951 | $9.51 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Will Sarah Knafo win the Paris mayor election?No | buy | 10 | $0.984 | $9.84 | Feb 24, 2026 |
 Total Internet Blackout in Iran by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.530 | $5.3 | Feb 22, 2026 |
 Will the Department of Homeland Security receive full-year funding by February 28, 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.949 | $9.49 | Feb 19, 2026 |