Latest trade
Oct 26, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 26, 9:20 PM UTC.
Analytics
PavtheGreat is down $2.05K on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-24 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Oct 26, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 26, 9:20 PM UTC.
$7.84 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 20 markets; 30.0% were buys. They run from Oct 23, 2026 UTC to Oct 26, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? | No | 1.2K | $0.840 | $1.19K | +$179.4 |
|
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will 40 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 26-November 1?No | buy | 13.45 | $0.900 | $12.11 | 7m ago |
 |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-24 06:03 UTC
Polymarket public position response
50 open positions returned; page coverage partial
2026-10-26 21:20 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-26 21:20 UTC
polymarket positions
51 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-24 06:03 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $6.31K and losing ones cost $13.55K across the latest 50 settled positions. 32% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $1.06K on “Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by August 31, 2026?” (Yes); the largest loss, $1.02K on “US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?” (No).
Its most recent trade on record was on 26 Oct 2026. It has traded 454 markets. Its open positions are worth $34.3K across 104 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| No |
| 1.4K |
| $0.744 |
| $1.19K |
| +$148.34 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | No | 1.24K | $0.850 | $1.17K | +$117.28 |
 US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31? | Yes | 1.1K | $0.920 | $1.09K | +$73.15 |
 Will OpenAI have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 1.1K | $0.906 | $1.08K | +$81.25 |
 US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | No | 1.5K | $0.660 | $1.06K | +$67.5 |
 Will Texas enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026? | No | 1.08K | $0.930 | $1.05K | +$52.68 |
| Will OpenAI have the best Image Edit AI at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 1.15K | $0.886 | $1.05K | +$33.6 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | No | 1.63K | $0.475 | $999.38 | +$228.13 |
 US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31? | No | 1.03K | $0.830 | $978.36 | +$127.61 |
 Houthis enter Aden by October 31, 2026? | No | 946.06 | $0.804 | $936.6 | +$175.5 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | No | 1K | $0.623 | $911 | +$287.51 |
 Will Lindsay Clancy be the #1 searched person on Google this year? | No | 1K | $0.821 | $815 | -$6.39 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | Yes | 867 | $0.797 | $793.31 | +$102.47 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | No | 800 | $0.220 | $708 | +$532 |
 Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 1K | $0.320 | $706 | +$386 |
 Will the Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by December 31? | No | 770 | $0.750 | $604.45 | +$26.95 |
 IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by December 31? | No | 655 | $0.790 | $589.5 | +$72.05 |
 Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | No | 925 | $0.540 | $555 | +$55.5 |
 Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31? | No | 574.19 | $0.654 | $548.35 | +$172.58 |
 Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? | No | 558.62 | $0.849 | $534.88 | +$60.45 |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | Yes | 593 | $0.860 | $518.88 | +$8.9 |
 Texas Senate favorite on November 2? | Talarico | 520 | $0.899 | $492.18 | +$24.89 |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 30? | Yes | 2.28K | $0.225 | $489.56 | -$23.38 |
 Will China become the #2 global art market in 2026? | No | 544.89 | $0.748 | $482.22 | +$74.43 |
| buy |
| 78.3 |
| $0.730 |
| $57.16 |
| 12m ago |
 Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 5.31 | $0.320 | $1.7 | 1h ago |
| Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 6.09 | $0.320 | $1.95 | 1h ago |
| Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 8.3 | $0.320 | $2.66 | 2h ago |
| Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 11.59 | $0.320 | $3.71 | 2h ago |
| Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 26.69 | $0.320 | $8.54 | 2h ago |
| Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 16.41 | $0.320 | $5.25 | 2h ago |
| Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 10.86 | $0.320 | $3.48 | 2h ago |
| Will Saudi airspace be closed by December 31?No | sell | 11.27 | $0.800 | $9.02 | 2h ago |
| Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 3.44 | $0.320 | $1.1 | 3h ago |
| Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 3.44 | $0.320 | $1.1 | 3h ago |
| Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 3.75 | $0.320 | $1.2 | 3h ago |
| Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 3.75 | $0.320 | $1.2 | 3h ago |
| Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 3.75 | $0.320 | $1.2 | 3h ago |
| Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 3.75 | $0.320 | $1.2 | 3h ago |
| Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 3.75 | $0.320 | $1.2 | 3h ago |
| Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 3.13 | $0.320 | $1 | 3h ago |
| Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 3.13 | $0.320 | $1 | 3h ago |
| Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 3.13 | $0.320 | $1 | 3h ago |
| Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.320 | $1.6 | 4h ago |
| Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 8.69 | $0.320 | $2.78 | 4h ago |
| Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 26.13 | $0.320 | $8.36 | 4h ago |
| Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 21.01 | $0.320 | $6.72 | 4h ago |
| Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 35.87 | $0.320 | $11.48 | 8h ago |
| Will Anthropic be the second-best AI lab at the end of October 2026?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.840 | $12.6 | 8h ago |
| Will Saudi airspace be closed by December 31?No | sell | 67 | $0.800 | $53.6 | 10h ago |
| Will Saudi airspace be closed by December 31?No | sell | 39 | $0.800 | $31.2 | 10h ago |
| Will Saudi airspace be closed by December 31?No | sell | 6.13 | $0.800 | $4.9 | 14h ago |
| Will Saudi airspace be closed by December 31?No | sell | 30.68 | $0.800 | $24.54 | 14h ago |
| Will Saudi airspace be closed by December 31?No | sell | 94.81 | $0.800 | $75.85 | 18h ago |
| Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.760 | $76 | 19h ago |
| Will Saudi airspace be closed by December 31?No | sell | 248.88 | $0.790 | $196.62 | 19h ago |
| Texas Senate favorite on November 2?Talarico | buy | 520 | $0.899 | $467.29 | 19h ago |
| Will "Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 12m and 14m?No | buy | 370 | $0.627 | $232 | 19h ago |
 Will Meta be the #2 AI lab at the end of October 2026?Yes | buy | 298.78 | $0.300 | $89.63 | 19h ago |
 Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes | buy | 350 | $0.850 | $297.5 | 20h ago |
| Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 21.55 | $0.340 | $7.33 | 1d ago |
| Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 49.35 | $0.340 | $16.78 | 1d ago |
 Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.179 | $22.38 | 1d ago |
| Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 127.84 | $0.760 | $97.16 | 1d ago |
| Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 29?Yes | buy | 379.99 | $0.788 | $299.47 | 1d ago |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Yes | buy | 593 | $0.860 | $509.98 | 1d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 340 | $0.940 | $319.6 | 1d ago |
| Will 35-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 26-November 1?No | buy | 154 | $0.919 | $141.53 | 1d ago |
| Will China become the #2 global art market in 2026?No | sell | 1.11 | $0.900 | $1 | 2d ago |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on October 27, 2026?No | sell | 60 | $0.030 | $1.8 | 2d ago |
 US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?No | buy | 3.71 | $0.800 | $2.97 | 3d ago |
| Will Google be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?Yes | sell | 60 | $0.260 | $15.6 | 3d ago |
| Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes | sell | 3.66 | $0.240 | $0.88 | 3d ago |
Placed on fixed scales: no Radar board ranking was cached on this server when the profile was read, so no archetype is claimed. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.