Analytics
PavtheGreat is down $2.01K on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-24 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? | No | 1.2K | $0.840 | $1.18K | +$175.8 |
|
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
This view does not establish the wallet’s complete trading history.
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-24 06:03 UTC
Polymarket public position response
50 open positions returned; page coverage partial
2026-10-26 11:31 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
Recent fills unavailable
2026-10-26 11:31 UTC
polymarket positions
51 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-24 06:03 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $6.31K and losing ones cost $13.55K across the latest 50 settled positions. 32% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $1.06K on “Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by August 31, 2026?” (Yes); the largest loss, $1.02K on “US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?” (No).
It has traded 454 markets. Its open positions are worth $34.36K across 103 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| No |
| 1.4K |
| $0.744 |
| $1.18K |
| +$141.37 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | No | 1.24K | $0.850 | $1.17K | +$117.28 |
 US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31? | Yes | 1.1K | $0.920 | $1.08K | +$72.05 |
 Will OpenAI have the best Image Edit AI at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 1.15K | $0.886 | $1.08K | +$62.35 |
| Will OpenAI have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 1.1K | $0.906 | $1.08K | +$81.8 |
 US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | No | 1.5K | $0.660 | $1.06K | +$67.5 |
 Will Texas enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026? | No | 1.08K | $0.930 | $1.05K | +$52.14 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | No | 1.63K | $0.475 | $1.02K | +$244.38 |
 US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31? | No | 1.03K | $0.830 | $962.99 | +$112.24 |
 Houthis enter Aden by October 31, 2026? | No | 946.06 | $0.804 | $937.55 | +$176.45 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | No | 1K | $0.623 | $902.5 | +$279.01 |
 Will Lindsay Clancy be the #1 searched person on Google this year? | No | 1K | $0.821 | $790 | -$31.39 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | Yes | 867 | $0.797 | $775.97 | +$85.13 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | No | 800 | $0.220 | $708 | +$532 |
 Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 1K | $0.320 | $662 | +$342 |
 IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by December 31? | No | 655 | $0.790 | $582.95 | +$65.5 |
 Will the Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by December 31? | No | 770 | $0.750 | $581.35 | +$3.85 |
 Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31? | No | 574.19 | $0.654 | $548.35 | +$172.58 |
 Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | No | 925 | $0.540 | $541.13 | +$41.63 |
 Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? | No | 558.62 | $0.849 | $534.6 | +$60.17 |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | Yes | 593 | $0.860 | $507.02 | -$2.97 |
 Texas Senate favorite on November 2? | Talarico | 520 | $0.899 | $490.62 | +$23.33 |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 30? | Yes | 2.28K | $0.225 | $489.56 | -$23.38 |
 Will China become the #2 global art market in 2026? | No | 544.89 | $0.748 | $482.22 | +$74.43 |
4 of 6 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.
