Analytics
Yes is at 13%, down 37 points from 50% when the market opened on 27 Jun 2026.
Across the 118 daily closes on record from 27 Jun 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 (8 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 50% on 27 Jun 2026 and the lowest 10.5% on 30 Jul 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 11.5%; a month before, 12%. Its largest one-day move was 16 points down, to 34% on 1 Jul 2026.
$45.99 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $3.54K since listing. The order book holds $530.83, with a 4.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 151 trades, $136.39 bought Yes and $979.62 bought No.
The largest Yes position is Violet Voyager DAA3 with 500 shares; the largest No position is PavtheGreat with 545. Ten wallets hold 85.8% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Apr 2027.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 30, 11:55 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 118 points, 27 Jun 2026 – 30 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 27 Jun 2026 | 50.0% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 13.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| PavtheGreat | No | 544.89 |
| Violet Voyager DAA3 | Yes | 499.96 |
| AMAM13 | Yes | 251 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Art Basel and UBS Global Art Market Report covering 2026 ranks China as #2 in total art market sales. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, total art market sales refers to both dealer and auction segments. If China is tied with another country for second greatest total art market sales, this market will resolve to "Yes". This market will resolve according to the annual Art Basel and UBS Global Art Market Report covering the 2026 calendar year. If no such report is released by March 31, 2027, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-china-become-the-2-global-art-market-in-2026-20260626194726882
| IndipendentLens |
| No |
| 206 |
| mew3 | No | 205.54 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 184.24 |
| brown8886 | No | 99.99 |
| Duncs723 | Yes | 83.33 |
| Numitus1994 | Yes | 51.88 |
| LornaPredicts | Yes | 50 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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