Analytics
The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2027? | Yes | 1.5K | $0.700 | $1.03K | -$22.5 |
 Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 10? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on September 12?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.230 | $9.2 | 2h ago |
 |
| No |
| 456.97 |
| $0.685 |
| $456.74 |
| +$143.74 |
 Will Zendaya and Robert Pattinson star in another film together announced in 2026? | No | 473 | $0.840 | $423.34 | +$26.02 |
 Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $740 in September? | No | 567 | $0.722 | $377.06 | -$32.3 |
 Will $LAPTOP dip to $0.05 by September 30, 2026? | No | 450 | $0.920 | $364.5 | -$49.5 |
 Will Alabama have more than 6.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season? | Yes | 400 | $0.890 | $328 | -$28 |
 Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 567.92 | $0.451 | $312.35 | +$56.12 |
 Will Isa Ali Ibrahim Pantami win the 2027 Gombe State gubernatorial election? | No | 400 | $0.810 | $298 | -$26 |
 Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on September 10? | No | 350 | $0.910 | $294 | -$24.5 |
 Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on September 10? | No | 361.67 | $0.800 | $285.72 | -$3.78 |
 Will Gladson Camelí win the second-most votes in the 2026 Acre Senate election? | No | 312 | $0.850 | $279.24 | +$14.04 |
 Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,200 in September? | No | 481.11 | $0.626 | $279.04 | -$22.23 |
 Will Nicolás Castro (Toluca) record the most assists in the 2026-27 Liga MX season? | No | 400 | $0.910 | $278.4 | -$85.6 |
 Will the Democratic Party win the NY-24 House seat? | No | 294.01 | $0.930 | $271.96 | -$1.47 |
 Will the Republican Party win the IN-06 House seat? | Yes | 280.39 | $0.890 | $264.97 | +$15.42 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? | Yes | 2.5K | $0.121 | $262.5 | -$40.68 |
 Will the All Progressives Congress (APC) win the most seats in the 2027 Nigerian House of Representatives election? | Yes | 340 | $0.760 | $256.7 | -$1.7 |
 Will Anthropic be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of September 2026? | No | 300 | $0.830 | $255.9 | +$6.9 |
 Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? | Yes | 4.5K | $0.104 | $247.33 | -$222.87 |
 Will Republican House incumbents not win in between four and six nominating elections in the 2026 cycle? | Yes | 256.87 | $0.920 | $246.34 | +$10.02 |
 Will Jessica Pegula win the 2026 Women’s US Open? | Yes | 1.96K | $0.044 | $246.27 | +$160.61 |
 Will Alfred Cannan be the next Chief Minister of the Isle of Man? | No | 374.85 | $0.684 | $241.78 | -$14.72 |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on September 10? | No | 412 | $0.580 | $236.9 | -$2.23 |
 Will Bridget Phillipson be the first to leave the Burnham cabinet? | No | 240 | $0.920 | $233.28 | +$12.48 |
| Will $LAPTOP dip to $0.10 by September 30, 2026? | No | 493.07 | $0.811 | $231.74 | -$168.24 |
| sell |
| 22 |
| $0.980 |
| $21.56 |
| 16h ago |
 Will it snow in Indianapolis, IN by November 30?No | sell | 20 | $0.020 | $0.4 | 16h ago |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on September 10?No | buy | 9.87 | $0.760 | $7.5 | 1d ago |
 Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?No | sell | 9.43 | $0.741 | $6.99 | 1d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2027?Yes | buy | 1.5K | $0.700 | $1.05K | 1d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 35°C on September 9?No | buy | 12.88 | $0.760 | $9.79 | 2d ago |
 Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes | sell | 2.13K | $0.102 | $217 | 2d ago |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?No | sell | 1.66K | $0.130 | $215.17 | 2d ago |
 Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win fewer than 45 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?No | sell | 240 | $0.030 | $7.23 | 2d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on September 5?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.150 | $0.75 | 5d ago |
 Will it snow in Detroit, MI by November 15?No | buy | 107.01 | $0.242 | $25.88 | 7d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on September 2?No | sell | 504.05 | $0.999 | $503.55 | 7d ago |
 Will Russia capture Lyman by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 68.22 | $0.023 | $1.57 | 7d ago |
 Will Paige Beauchemin be the NH-02 Democratic nominee?Yes | sell | 700 | $0.020 | $14 | 8d ago |
 Will the Pokémon Pikachu Illustrator PSA 9 Sale Price be at least $1 million?No | sell | 21 | $0.020 | $0.42 | 8d ago |
 Will the next Google Gemini Flash model be released on September 10, 2026?Yes | sell | 21 | $0.010 | $0.21 | 9d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on September 1?Yes | buy | 31.1 | $0.350 | $10.89 | 9d ago |
| Next Google Gemini Flash Model (3.8+) released by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 251 | $0.030 | $7.53 | 9d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on September 1?No | buy | 50 | $0.720 | $36 | 9d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on September 1?No | buy | 216 | $0.790 | $170.64 | 9d ago |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 1K | $0.470 | $470 | 10d ago |
 Will QS finish in second place in the Quebec general election?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.010 | $0.05 | 10d ago |
| Will QS finish in third place in the Quebec general election?Yes | sell | 81 | $0.030 | $2.43 | 11d ago |
 VALORANT Champions 2026: Tier 2 Team to Qualify?Yes | buy | 7.5 | $0.741 | $5.56 | 11d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on August 30?No | buy | 21 | $0.900 | $18.9 | 11d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.150 | $150 | 11d ago |
 Will the highest score achieved by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher?No | sell | 16.87 | $0.020 | $0.34 | 12d ago |
 What percent of U.S. cattle inventory area will be in drought? (week of September 1)Yes | sell | 32.25 | $0.020 | $0.65 | 12d ago |
 Will the highest score achieved by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?No | buy | 21 | $0.790 | $16.59 | 12d ago |
 Will voter turnout be between 60% and 70% in the first round of the 2026 Zambian presidential elections?No | sell | 170.62 | $0.999 | $170.45 | 12d ago |
 Will Belit Onay win the next Hannover mayoral election?Yes | buy | 38.75 | $0.880 | $34.1 | 12d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on August 28?Yes | buy | 21 | $0.060 | $1.26 | 13d ago |
| Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 26 | $0.350 | $9.1 | 13d ago |
 Will Kanye West feature Jay-Z during his Chicago homecoming performances?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.070 | $1.4 | 15d ago |
 Will 60 to 79 tornadoes occur in the United States in August 2026?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.010 | $0.05 | 15d ago |
 Will Peggy Flanagan win the Minnesota Senate Democratic primary by 15–20%?Yes | sell | 252.51 | $0.999 | $252.26 | 15d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 28°C on August 25?Yes | buy | 83.6 | $0.240 | $20.06 | 16d ago |
 Will SPD be in the next Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state government?No | sell | 5 | $0.010 | $0.05 | 17d ago |
 Will Byron Donalds win the Florida Republican Governor primary by at least 40%?No | sell | 198.22 | $0.999 | $198.02 | 17d ago |
 Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yes | sell | 180.03 | $0.050 | $9 | 18d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 21°C on August 23?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.305 | $6.1 | 18d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 102-103°F on August 23?Yes | buy | 65 | $0.010 | $0.65 | 18d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 100-101°F on August 23?Yes | buy | 85 | $0.010 | $0.85 | 18d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 88-89°F on August 23?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.010 | $0.1 | 18d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on August 23?No | buy | 6 | $0.580 | $3.48 | 18d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 78-79°F on August 23?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.060 | $0.3 | 19d ago |
 Will Fatima Shaban win the 2026 Scarborough Southwest provincial by-election?Yes | buy | 21 | $0.330 | $6.93 | 19d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 22?No | buy | 29 | $0.890 | $25.81 | 19d ago |
| Will Russia capture Lyman by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.060 | $0.3 | 19d ago |