Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? | Yes | 826.42 | $0.800 | $710.72 | +$49.85 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Netanyahu out by end of 2026?No | buy | 400 | $0.480 | $192 | 18h ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 570.02 |
| $0.917 |
| $547.22 |
| +$24.4 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 530 | $0.850 | $453.15 | +$2.65 |
 Will Russia capture Bilytske by September 30, 2026? | No | 499.99 | $0.560 | $397.49 | +$117.56 |
 US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 30? | No | 400 | $0.880 | $390.4 | +$38.4 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026? | No | 380 | $0.880 | $343.9 | +$9.5 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | No | 400 | $0.730 | $342 | +$50 |
 Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026? | No | 350 | $0.880 | $320.25 | +$12.25 |
 Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30? | No | 300 | $0.840 | $288 | +$36 |
 Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026? | No | 385.43 | $0.640 | $285.22 | +$38.54 |
 Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 300 | $0.687 | $277.35 | +$71.25 |
 Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026? | No | 400 | $0.630 | $274 | +$22 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 500 | $0.520 | $267.5 | +$7.5 |
 Will Rafael Grossi be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations? | No | 303.41 | $0.580 | $262.45 | +$86.47 |
 Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 250 | $0.710 | $235 | +$57.5 |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30? | No | 300 | $0.600 | $219 | +$39 |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | No | 400 | $0.480 | $186 | -$6 |
 Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by September 30? | No | 218.48 | $0.640 | $174.78 | +$34.96 |
 Will Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election? | Yes | 225.45 | $0.720 | $170.21 | +$7.89 |
 Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region? | Yes | 246 | $0.648 | $168.51 | +$9.01 |
 Moscow air traffic suspended by September 15? | Yes | 260 | $0.695 | $144.69 | -$36.09 |
 Will Left Party (V) win between 5% and 7% of all valid votes? | No | 215.84 | $0.730 | $134.9 | -$22.66 |
 Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? | No | 220 | $0.520 | $130.9 | +$16.5 |
 Will there be fewer than 1 North Korea test in September 2026? | Yes | 507.7 | $0.230 | $129.46 | +$12.91 |
 Will Kerry-Lynne Findlay win the next Abbotsford-Mission by-election? | Yes | 185.9 | $0.465 | $128.27 | +$41.76 |
| buy |
| 58.92 |
| $0.850 |
| $50.08 |
| 18h ago |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.880 | $88 | 18h ago |
 Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 147.15 | $0.350 | $51.5 | 18h ago |
| Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 400 | $0.630 | $252 | 1d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 216.14 | $0.425 | $91.85 | 1d ago |
| Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 150.4 | $0.410 | $61.66 | 1d ago |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026?No | buy | 250 | $0.880 | $220 | 1d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 520 | $0.006 | $3.12 | 1d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.520 | $260 | 1d ago |
 Will Russia enter Dobropillia by December 31?No | buy | 743.09 | $0.100 | $74.31 | 2d ago |
 Nothing Ever Happens: 2026No | buy | 691.55 | $0.190 | $131.39 | 2d ago |
 Will Russia target Kyiv on September 7, 2026?No | buy | 50 | $0.955 | $47.75 | 2d ago |
| Will Russia target Kyiv on September 7, 2026?No | buy | 62.82 | $0.950 | $59.68 | 2d ago |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 18?No | sell | 552.45 | $0.300 | $165.74 | 2d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?No | sell | 71.18 | $0.460 | $32.74 | 2d ago |
| Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 30?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.920 | $9.2 | 4d ago |
| Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 30?Yes | buy | 160.02 | $0.910 | $145.62 | 4d ago |
 Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 1 to September 8, 2026?No | buy | 350 | $0.750 | $262.5 | 4d ago |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 40 | $0.260 | $10.4 | 4d ago |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 44 | $0.270 | $11.88 | 4d ago |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 629.89 | $0.280 | $176.37 | 4d ago |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 93.11 | $0.290 | $27 | 4d ago |
 Will Christine Fréchette be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?No | buy | 25 | $0.688 | $17.2 | 4d ago |
| Will Christine Fréchette be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?No | buy | 94 | $0.685 | $64.35 | 4d ago |
 Sweden Parliamentary Election: Liberals Win Seats?No | buy | 120 | $0.530 | $63.6 | 4d ago |
| Will Left Party (V) win between 5% and 7% of all valid votes?No | buy | 215.84 | $0.730 | $157.56 | 4d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.480 | $48 | 4d ago |
| Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?No | sell | 80 | $0.360 | $28.8 | 4d ago |
 Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 31-September 6?No | buy | 110 | $0.866 | $95.3 | 4d ago |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.004 | $4 | 5d ago |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.007 | $3.5 | 5d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.600 | $60 | 5d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?No | buy | 102 | $0.946 | $96.49 | 5d ago |
| Will Kerry-Lynne Findlay win the next Abbotsford-Mission by-election?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.470 | $47 | 6d ago |
| Will Kerry-Lynne Findlay win the next Abbotsford-Mission by-election?Yes | buy | 85.9 | $0.460 | $39.51 | 6d ago |
 Will CDU win between 20% and 23% of all valid second votes?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.450 | $135 | 6d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 18?No | buy | 552.45 | $0.370 | $204.41 | 6d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?No | buy | 51 | $0.939 | $47.89 | 6d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?No | buy | 19.88 | $0.740 | $14.71 | 6d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?Yes | sell | 188.12 | $0.260 | $48.91 | 6d ago |
 Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?No | buy | 237.83 | $0.770 | $183.13 | 6d ago |
 Will AfD win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?No | buy | 164.51 | $0.734 | $120.75 | 6d ago |
| Will AfD win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?No | buy | 36 | $0.732 | $26.35 | 6d ago |
| Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?Yes | buy | 206 | $0.650 | $133.9 | 6d ago |
| Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.640 | $25.6 | 6d ago |
| Moscow air traffic suspended by September 15?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.696 | $139.2 | 6d ago |
| Moscow air traffic suspended by September 15?Yes | buy | 60 | $0.693 | $41.58 | 6d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?No | buy | 28.74 | $0.550 | $15.81 | 6d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?No | buy | 42.44 | $0.540 | $22.92 | 6d ago |