Analytics
The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
A complete provider position result is unavailable. Missing positions and amounts are not shown as zero holdings.
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 AI data center in space by December 31, 2027? | No | 5.13K | $0.769 | $4.33K | +$390.42 |
 Will Tesla release Optimus by December 31, 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 325 | $0.742 | $241 | 4h ago |
 |
| No |
| 3.69K |
| $0.927 |
| $3.57K |
| +$149.27 |
 Will two SpaceX Starships dock together by December 31, 2026? | No | 2.44K | $0.913 | $2.36K | +$125.66 |
 U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31? | No | 2.07K | $0.918 | $1.91K | +$13.58 |
| Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? | No | 2.22K | $0.664 | $1.71K | +$235.58 |
| Will the Rhine River return to normal levels between September 15 and September 30, 2026? | No | 1.24K | $0.744 | $976.4 | +$51.39 |
 Will a dLLM be the top AI model before 2027? | No | 691.15 | $0.895 | $675.94 | +$57.61 |
| Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026? | No | 691.9 | $0.830 | $646.93 | +$72.65 |
 OpenAI acquired before 2027? | No | 469.2 | $0.913 | $450.19 | +$21.59 |
| Will two SpaceX Starships dock together by December 31, 2027? | No | 813 | $0.465 | $422.76 | +$44.57 |
 Elon Bull Run Combo | No | 327.08 | $0.896 | $308.27 | +$15.17 |
 Will there be between 0 and 5 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on September 30? | Yes | 501.99 | $0.370 | $243.47 | +$57.66 |
| Will the Rhine River return to normal levels before September 15, 2026? | No | 253.44 | $0.923 | $242.04 | +$7.98 |
| Will there be between 5 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on September 30? | Yes | 511.99 | $0.351 | $238.08 | +$58.14 |
 Another critical Cloudflare incident by September 30, 2026? | No | 194.98 | $0.620 | $138.44 | +$17.57 |
| Will there be between 15 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on September 30? | No | 122.12 | $0.717 | $119.43 | +$31.86 |
 Will September 2026 be the 1st hottest on record? | Yes | 250 | $0.232 | $32.5 | -$25.5 |
| Will September 2026 be the 4th or lower on record? | Yes | 200 | $0.070 | $12.4 | -$1.6 |
| Will September 2026 be the 3rd hottest on record? | Yes | 151.05 | $0.116 | $10.8 | -$6.75 |
 5kt meteor strike in 2026? | Yes | 30.31 | $0.411 | $7.73 | -$4.74 |
| Will the Rhine River fail to return to normal levels before November 1, 2026? | Yes | 19.12 | $0.190 | $6.21 | +$2.58 |
| Will there be between 10 and 15 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on September 30? | Yes | 69.38 | $0.060 | $1.53 | -$2.64 |
| buy |
| 234.99 |
| $0.790 |
| $185.64 |
| 8h ago |
| Will the Rhine River return to normal levels before September 15, 2026?No | buy | 50.43 | $0.937 | $47.24 | 8h ago |
| Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 691.9 | $0.830 | $574.28 | 9h ago |
| Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 318 | $0.729 | $231.94 | 9h ago |
| Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.78K | $0.637 | $1.13K | 9h ago |
| Will the Rhine River return to normal levels between September 15 and September 30, 2026?No | buy | 1.17K | $0.733 | $859.56 | 1d ago |
| Will the Rhine River return to normal levels before September 15, 2026?No | buy | 234 | $0.883 | $206.53 | 2d ago |
| Will there be between 10 and 15 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on September 30?Yes | buy | 69.38 | $0.060 | $4.16 | 3d ago |
 Will Russia enter Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by September 30?No | sell | 42.02 | $0.520 | $21.85 | 6d ago |
| Will two SpaceX Starships dock together by December 31, 2027?No | buy | 19.99 | $0.470 | $9.4 | 6d ago |
| Will there be between 0 and 5 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on September 30?Yes | buy | 227 | $0.380 | $86.26 | 6d ago |
| Will there be between 5 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on September 30?Yes | buy | 233 | $0.360 | $83.88 | 6d ago |
| Will there be between 0 and 5 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on September 30?Yes | buy | 220 | $0.350 | $77 | 8d ago |
| Will there be between 5 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on September 30?Yes | buy | 186.2 | $0.340 | $63.31 | 8d ago |
| Will there be between 5 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on September 30?Yes | buy | 32.8 | $0.340 | $11.15 | 9d ago |
| Will there be between 5 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on September 30?Yes | buy | 59.99 | $0.360 | $21.6 | 9d ago |
| Will there be between 0 and 5 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on September 30?Yes | buy | 54.99 | $0.410 | $22.55 | 9d ago |
| Will there be between 15 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on September 30?No | buy | 122.12 | $0.717 | $87.57 | 12d ago |
| 5kt meteor strike in 2026?Yes | sell | 60 | $0.260 | $15.6 | 12d ago |
| 5kt meteor strike in 2026?Yes | sell | 19 | $0.270 | $5.13 | 12d ago |
| Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?Yes | sell | 94.37 | $0.100 | $9.44 | 12d ago |
 Will Elon Musk announce Presidential run before 2027?No | buy | 310 | $0.919 | $284.78 | 13d ago |
 Will there be exactly 2 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?Yes | sell | 41.13 | $0.034 | $1.4 | 14d ago |
| Will there be exactly 2 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?Yes | sell | 164.14 | $0.035 | $5.74 | 14d ago |
| U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31?No | buy | 324.12 | $0.910 | $294.95 | 14d ago |
| U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31?No | buy | 1.74K | $0.920 | $1.6K | 14d ago |
| Will two SpaceX Starships dock together by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 629.65 | $0.930 | $585.57 | 14d ago |
| Another critical Cloudflare incident by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 407.12 | $0.620 | $252.37 | 14d ago |
| Will two SpaceX Starships dock together by December 31, 2027?No | buy | 270.19 | $0.467 | $126.11 | 15d ago |
| Will Tesla release Optimus by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 4.02K | $0.927 | $3.73K | 16d ago |
| Will two SpaceX Starships dock together by December 31, 2027?No | buy | 522.82 | $0.464 | $242.69 | 16d ago |
| Will two SpaceX Starships dock together by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.81K | $0.908 | $1.65K | 16d ago |
| AI data center in space by December 31, 2027?No | buy | 5.46K | $0.769 | $4.2K | 16d ago |
 Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 43K | $0.209 | $8.99K | Jul 11, 2026 |
 Will there be between 5 and 7 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?Yes | sell | 1.86 | $0.003 | $0.01 | Jul 5, 2026 |
| Will there be between 8 and 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?Yes | sell | 8.32 | $0.015 | $0.12 | Jul 5, 2026 |
| Will there be exactly 2 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?Yes | sell | 166.29 | $0.035 | $5.82 | Jul 5, 2026 |
| Will there be 20 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?Yes | sell | 159 | $0.026 | $4.13 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| 100kt meteor strike in 2026?Yes | sell | 10.57 | $0.042 | $0.44 | Jun 20, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on June 21?Yes | sell | 7 | $0.240 | $1.68 | Jun 19, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on June 20?Yes | buy | 22 | $0.350 | $7.7 | Jun 19, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on June 20?Yes | buy | 12.67 | $0.250 | $3.17 | Jun 19, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on June 20?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.170 | $2.55 | Jun 19, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 24°C on June 21?Yes | buy | 7 | $0.090 | $0.63 | Jun 19, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C on June 20?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.200 | $1 | Jun 19, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 98-99°F on June 20?Yes | buy | 55 | $0.011 | $0.61 | Jun 19, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C on June 20?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.290 | $1.45 | Jun 19, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on June 20?Yes | sell | 20.28 | $0.360 | $7.3 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on June 20?Yes | buy | 35 | $0.250 | $8.75 | Jun 18, 2026 |