Analytics
Yes is at 2.6%, down 23 points from 26% when the market opened on 13 Nov 2025.
Across the 338 daily closes on record from 13 Nov 2025 to 25 Oct 2026 (10 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 27.1% on 14 Jan 2026 and the lowest 2.6% on 16 Sep 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 2.8%; a month before, 2.9%. Its largest one-day move was 21 points up, to 27.1% on 14 Jan 2026.
$4.93K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $3.01K, with a 3.1% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 164 trades, $170.99 bought Yes and $1.86K bought No.
The largest Yes position is audible with 330 shares; the largest No position is dpnd with 469. Ten wallets hold 65.6% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 68 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 25, 12:22 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 338 points, 13 Nov 2025 – 25 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 13 Nov 2025 | 26.0% |
| 25 Oct 2026 | 2.6% |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if credible reporting confirms that any entity enters into an agreement to acquire OpenAI (or the nonprofit that controls OpenAI) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Mergers where OpenAI is subsumed by another entity will count toward a "Yes" resolution. An announced agreement between OpenAI and an acquiring entity will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the acquisition is ultimately completed. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from Sam Altman and/or OpenAI however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/openai-acquired-before-2027
| Lakan |
| No |
| 322 |
| planktonXD | Yes | 292 |
| kyrillic | Yes | 290 |
| dakarrotkiing | Yes | 222.66 |
| TinCanRattle | Yes | 145.63 |
| beansontoasts | Yes | 108.44 |
| BSS37 | Yes | 100 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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