Analytics
The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
A complete provider position result is unavailable. Missing positions and amounts are not shown as zero holdings.
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 14.35K | $0.111 | $1.08K | -$510.24 |
 Trump out as President before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will AfD win less than 39% of all valid second votes?Yes | buy | 244.62 | $0.150 | $36.69 | 3d ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 2.15K |
| $0.107 |
| $118.25 |
| -$111.75 |
 OpenAI acquired before 2027? | Yes | 145.63 | $0.101 | $5.9 | -$8.77 |
 Musk out as Tesla CEO before 2027? | Yes | 58.43 | $0.105 | $3.21 | -$2.93 |
| buy |
| 35 |
| $0.900 |
| $31.5 |
| Jul 26, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 30?Yes | buy | 34 | $0.900 | $30.6 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 27?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.940 | $28.2 | Jul 25, 2026 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.5K | $0.100 | $550 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 4.8K | $0.140 | $672 | Jun 30, 2026 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.006 | $3 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Trump out as President before 2027?Yes | buy | 1.5K | $0.110 | $165 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 650 | $0.090 | $58.5 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Trump out as President before 2027?Yes | buy | 650 | $0.100 | $65 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?No | buy | 31 | $0.200 | $6.2 | May 17, 2026 |
 Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?No | buy | 30 | $0.280 | $8.4 | May 14, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?No | buy | 20 | $0.400 | $8 | May 12, 2026 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.026 | $26 | May 8, 2026 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?Yes | buy | 600 | $0.026 | $15.6 | May 5, 2026 |
 James Comey arrested by May 15?No | buy | 42.5 | $0.009 | $0.38 | Apr 29, 2026 |
| James Comey arrested by May 15?No | buy | 59 | $0.120 | $7.08 | Apr 28, 2026 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.030 | $9 | Apr 28, 2026 |
 Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in April?No | sell | 32.11 | $0.243 | $7.79 | Apr 26, 2026 |
| Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in April?No | buy | 3.58 | $0.070 | $0.25 | Apr 26, 2026 |
 Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?Yes | buy | 48.8 | $0.700 | $34.16 | Apr 25, 2026 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.038 | $0.95 | Apr 23, 2026 |
 Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets in April?Yes | buy | 30.7 | $0.350 | $10.75 | Apr 20, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No | buy | 25 | $0.780 | $19.5 | Apr 19, 2026 |
 Will Trump agree to Iranian Oil sanction relief in April?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.530 | $10.6 | Apr 18, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No | buy | 40 | $0.620 | $24.8 | Apr 18, 2026 |
 Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day April 8–12?No | buy | 10.72 | $0.882 | $9.46 | Apr 13, 2026 |
| Will 10 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day April 8–12?No | sell | 22 | $0.190 | $4.18 | Apr 13, 2026 |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?No | buy | 66.98 | $0.460 | $30.81 | Apr 13, 2026 |
 Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.110 | $5.5 | Apr 13, 2026 |
 Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?No | sell | 70 | $0.996 | $69.72 | Apr 13, 2026 |
| Will 10 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day April 8–12?No | buy | 22 | $0.300 | $6.6 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Will 10 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day April 8–12?Yes | sell | 9 | $0.700 | $6.3 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Will 10 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day April 8–12?Yes | buy | 9 | $0.770 | $6.93 | Apr 12, 2026 |
 Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 70 | $0.140 | $9.8 | Apr 9, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?No | buy | 200 | $0.006 | $1.2 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 Iran leadership change by April 30?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.230 | $11.5 | Apr 7, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?Yes | buy | 90 | $0.120 | $10.8 | Apr 7, 2026 |
 US forces enter Iran by April 30?No | buy | 2.4K | $0.006 | $14.4 | Apr 6, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30?No | buy | 1K | $0.005 | $5 | Apr 6, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes | sell | 83 | $0.995 | $82.59 | Apr 6, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30?No | buy | 500 | $0.002 | $1 | Apr 5, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.100 | $10 | Apr 3, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.560 | $5.6 | Apr 1, 2026 |
| Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?No | buy | 5.46 | $0.670 | $3.66 | Mar 29, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes | sell | 185 | $0.102 | $18.93 | Mar 29, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes | buy | 18 | $0.580 | $10.44 | Mar 28, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.460 | $18.4 | Mar 23, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.090 | $9 | Mar 23, 2026 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.046 | $9.2 | Mar 23, 2026 |